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SIG NIFIC ANCE O F NEW T HEORI ES
                              regardless of its size, nationality, or other features is believed to have
                              an equal opportunity to appropriate and exploit the fruits of scientific
                              and technical advance around the world. Thus, when a firm makes
                              an investment decision, the neoclassical assumption is that it can in-
                              corporate “state-of-the-art” technology in its new plant and thereby
                              be competitive in world markets.
                                The new growth, location, and trade theories assume, to the con-
                              trary, that technology can be and is being, at least temporarily, appro-
                              priated and monopolized by its innovators. Private firms and national
                              governments can and do attempt to slow down the international dif-
                              fusion of the most advanced technologies at a moment when achiev-
                              ing and maintaining control of technology and knowledge have be-
                              come more and more important as factors in economic growth and
                              international competitiveness. Thus, at the beginning of the twenty-
                              first century, the technological leaders (Japan, the United States, and
                              Western Europe) attempt to restrict transmission of their most ad-
                              vanced technologies to foreign competitors and to protect their intel-
                              lectual property rights, especially from the encroachment of develop-
                              ing countries. Although an effort to safeguard intellectual property
                              rights against piracy is proper in most cases, such efforts can lead to
                              technonationalism and even denial of important medical technology
                              to poor countries. 20

                              Technological Leapfrogging
                              The new growth theory is based on the assumption that technological
                              change is generally incremental within a well-established technologi-
                              cal paradigm and that an oligopolistic firm can expect to maintain
                              its lead over its rivals through continuous investment in established
                              technology. This theory also suggests that technological leapfrogging
                              can sometimes explain drastic reversals among firms and nations in
                              their economic fortune and relative position, thus occasionally trans-
                              forming the hierarchy of power and the structure of the international
                              system. From time to time, one economy suddenly moves to a higher
                              stage of technological development and productive efficiency. Such
                              technological leapfrogging, especially when major powers are in-
                              volved, can have profound and disturbing consequences for interna-
                                                              21
                              tional economic and political affairs. The new growth theory may
                               20
                                 Sylvia Ostry and Richard R. Nelson, Techno-Nationalism and Techno-Globalism:
                              Conflict and Cooperation (Washington, D.C.: Brookings Institution, 1995).
                               21
                                 Elise S. Brezis, Paul R. Krugman, and Daniel Tsiddon, “Leapfrogging in Interna-
                              tional Competition: A Theory of Cycles in National Technological Leadership,” Amer-
                              ican Economic Review 83, no. 5 (December 1993): 1211–19.
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