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SIG NIFIC ANCE O F NEW T HEORI ES
                              Hirschman, the core has power over the periphery because a rupture
                              of their ties would be more costly to the latter than the former.
                              Keohane and Nye (1977) had much the same point in mind when
                              they distinguished between “sensitivity” and “vulnerability” inter-
                              dependence. 26
                                The global process of uneven economic development and the exis-
                              tence of core/periphery structures are the result of the interplay of
                              opposed economic forces that successively create and undermine re-
                                                                              27
                              gional concentrations of industry and economic activity. On the one
                              hand are found forces of polarization or agglomeration that promote
                              regional concentration of economic activities. These forces include
                              economies of scale, the technological and other advantages gained by
                              path dependence, and the cumulative process. In addition, externali-
                              ties and the learning experience can give a region a powerful competi-
                              tive advantage over other regions. For example, the ability of entre-
                              preneurs within a region to take advantage of local technologies,
                              knowledge spillovers, and economies of scale will enhance their com-
                              petitiveness. In addition, a region may also possess the advantages of
                              proximity to suppliers and customers and the linkages that develop
                              among firms dealing in intermediate goods. 28  Then there are the op-
                              posed forces of spread and diffusion. The forces of dispersal that lead
                              to development of new core economies include diffusion of technology
                              from developed to industrializing economies, the exhaustion of valu-
                              able resources, increasing labor costs in the core/s, rising land costs,
                              and such other diseconomies as urban congestion and rising taxation.
                                Whether the centrifugal forces concentrating economic activities or
                              the centripetal forces dispersing them will prevail in a particular case
                              is virtually impossible to predict; as with almost every economic ques-
                              tion, the answer is, “It depends.” It is impossible to know which
                              economies will become core economies or which will be in the periph-
                              ery over the long term. As Paul R. Krugman has pointed out, the
                              organization of the world economy with respect to the location of

                               26
                                 These matters are discussed in Chapter 4.
                               27
                                 Prior to Krugman, a number of scholars such as Albert O. Hirschman and Gunnar
                              Myrdal made important contributions to the study of the core/periphery formation.
                              These writings are discussed in my book, The Political Economy of International Rela-
                              tions (Princeton: Princeton University Press, 1987). One important element missing
                              from these earlier analyses, and emphasized by Krugman, is the role of economies of
                              scale in the formation of core economies. A discussion of this earlier literature is Keith
                              Chapman and David Walker, Industrial Location. Principles and Policies (Cambridge:
                              Basil Blackwell, 1987).
                               28
                                 Anthony J. Venables, “Cities, Trade, and Economic Development,” May 1999,
                              unpublished.
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