Page 353 - Hydrocarbon Exploration and Production Second Edition
P. 353

340                                               Constructing a Project Cashflow


          Table 14.1  Elements of a project cashflow

           Sources                                      Information
           Petroleum engineering        Reserves
                                        Production forecasts – oil, sales gas
           Drilling engineering         Drilling and completion costs
           Facilities engineering       Capital costs
                                          Platform structures
                                          Transportation (e.g. pipelines)
                                          Production facilities (e.g. separators,
                                            compressors, pumps)
           Operations and maintenance   Operating costs
             engineering                  Maintenance
                                          Workover
                                          Manpower requirement
           Human resources              Manpower costs
                                          Operators
                                          Technical staff
                                          Support staff
                                          Overheads
           Host government              Fiscal system
                                          Tax and royalty rate
                                          Royalty payment method (in cash or in kind)
                                          Production sharing agreement
                                          Company status (e.g. newcomer)
                                          Project status (e.g. ring fenced)
                                          Licence terms (duration, final liabilities)
                                          Decommissioning requirements
           Corporate planning           Forecast oil and gas prices
                                        Discount rates, hurdle rates
                                        Exchange rates
                                        Inflation forecast
                                        Market factors
                                        Political risk, social obligations




             It is therefore important when collecting the data from the various sources that
          the current range of uncertainty is also requested. In particular, when estimating
          operating costs it is desirable for the operations and maintenance engineers to
          estimate the cost of these activities based on the particular facilities and equipment
          types being proposed in the engineering design. For example, the cost of operating
          and maintaining an unmanned remote controlled platform will be significantly
          different to a conventional manned facility.
             For any one case, say the base case, the project cashflow is constructed by calcula-
          ting, on an annual basis, the revenue items (the payments received by the project) and
          then subtracting the expenditure items (the payments made by the project: CAPEX,
   348   349   350   351   352   353   354   355   356   357   358