Page 406 - Improving Machinery Reliability
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370   Improving Machinery Reliability

                       3. What could cause each of a multitude of functional failures?
                         -Since  our systems are likely to include instrument, electrical, hydraulic and
                           computer-electronic functions, do we really have the in-house talent and time
                           to collect answers?
                       4. What exactly happens when each of these failures occurs? What are the short-
                         and  long-term  consequences?  What  is the  safety  and environmental  impact,
                         downtime impact, community perception impact?
                         -Can  we afford to let our “lean” organization divert its attention away from
                           the urgent day-to-day business? Will they find answers to some of the obvi-
                           ously  subjective questions raised here? How  much  time can we afford  to
                           spend on getting these answers? Would a consultant know, or would he have
                           to sit down in lengthy sessions with our own personnel to get at the answers?
                       5. What can be done to prevent each potential failure?
                         -Are  we prepared to arrange for the considerable interaction between project,
                           operations,  maintenance, technical, and managerial  staff that will be neces-
                           sary to deal with this question? The decisions, actions, and omissions of each
                           of these different job functions will  influence equipment reliability,  failure
                           risk, and plant profitability. Who chairs these meetings, and how much time
                           are we prepared to allocate to the task?
                       6. What is the exact cost justification  to implement  a given failure prevention
                         measure?
                         -Do  we have the talent to perform calculations with reasonable accuracy? Is
                           someone already routinely  engaged  in  this work, or will it be necessary to
                           train a person?
                       7. What measurements can be made to predict and/or track failure development?
                         How often  should these measurements be made and who should make them?
                         Who should interpret them?
                         -Do  we have personnel who have knowledge as to how often certain vibration
                           measurements should optimally be performed on various machines? Do we
                           know  how,  where, and when  these measurements  are typically being per-
                           formed on equivalent equipment at “best-of-class” facilities around the world?

                     Prerequisites to RCM
                       By now the reader will perhaps appreciate why an estimated 60% of  U.S. indus-
                     try’s attempted RCM implementations are being abandoned after a year or two, and
                     why  the affected  plants revert  back  to  their  original  or some other maintenance
                     strategies. RCM is anything but a quick fix. If the basic problem is lack of training,
                     then  the implementation of  proper  training  is an  indispensable prerequisite  to the
                     pursuit of RCM. If, as in a typical refinery, most failures are related to operational or
                     product-related upsets, it stands to reason that they will occur at essentially random
                     intervals. Earlier in our discussion, we had made the statement that only equipment
                     that exhibits wear-out failures will optimally respond to RCM, and that random fail-
                     ures are best detected by predictive, experience- and instrument-based data gathering
                     and analysis techniques. It will thus make better economic sense to emphasize pre-
                     dictive and component  upgrade approaches. These will have to be pursued in con-
                     junction  with cost-justified  state-of-art work  processes, sound and effective zero-
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