Page 172 - Materials Chemistry, Second Edition
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                                The health risk to exposed populations from exposure to environmental pollut-
                             ants is characterized by the calculation of noncarcinogenic hazard quotient and
                             indices and/or carcinogenic risks.  These parameters can then be compared with
                             benchmark criteria or standards in order to arrive at risk decisions about an envi-
                             ronmental pollution problem.

                             4.7.1.1 Carcinogenic Risk to Human Health
                             Cancer risk expresses the likelihood of suffering cancer due to a definite daily intake
                             of a pollutant. In this way, carcinogen risk is defined by the incremental probability
                             of an individual developing cancer over a lifetime as a result of exposure to carci-
                             nogenic substances. It can be described by a dose–response estimate. Cancer risk is
                             nonthreshold; this means that even the lowest doses have a small, or finite, probability
                             of generating a carcinogenic response. Although risk decreases with the dose, it does
                             not become zero until the dose becomes zero. For the characterization of cancer
                             risk, the specific exposure is compared with a corresponding health benchmark for
                             the relevant contaminant. The results correspond to the probability that cancer occurs,
                                            –6
                             e.g., a value of 10  means that the probability exists that one person in a million
                             may get cancer due to the study exposition.
                                In this way, cancer risk is estimated as excess risk (ER). ER does not express
                             total cancer. It is an incremental risk due to exposure to the considered pollutant.
                             In general, risks associated with the inhalation and noninhalation pathways (oral
                             pathways) may be considered separately, and therefore different human health bench-
                             marks are required. They can be estimated in accordance with the following generic
                             relationships:

                                                                               3
                                                                                            3
                             Inhalation risk = air ground-level concentration (GLC) (µg/m ) × unit risk (m /µg)
                                                                                         –1
                                 Noninhalation risk = dose (mg/kg-day) × potency slope ((mg/kg-day) ) (4.4)
                             Therefore, different human health benchmarks are required. Inhalation risk of car-
                             cinogenic substances is assessed using the inhalation unit risk factor, while the
                             noninhalation risk is the oral cancer slope factor. The latter (cancer slope factors)
                             do not represent a safe exposure level, but relate the exposure with the probability
                             of causing carcinogenic effects (Gold et al., 1995).
                                A total pathway risk can be calculated by summing the cancer risk estimates to
                             each pathway. However since cancer risk describes the probability of developing cancer
                             over a lifetime, the entire duration of exposure must be considered for risk assessment.

                             4.7.1.2 Noncarcinogenic Risk to Human Health
                             Depending on the exposure level, adverse health effects other than cancer can be
                             associated with all chemical substances. Therefore, a noncancer risk characterization
                             is always a dose–response analysis that determines whether the actual human expo-
                             sure exceeds a defined exposure level. This critical exposure level represents the
                             threshold below which adverse effects are assumed to be unlikely and it is determined
                             in a toxicity assessment.


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