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                                From studies of former smog pollution episodes (e.g., London smog in the
                             1950s), it is known that very high ambient pollution concentration is associated with
                             adverse health effects on the same day or on subsequent days. In the last 20 years
                             numerous well-conducted epidemiological* as well as experimental** studies have
                             confirmed this correlation between  exposure to pollutants and the occurrence of
                             health and environmental damages. Hence, they allow establishing a direct link
                             between ambient concentration of certain pollutants and effects on different receptor
                             endpoints, as indicated in Pilkington et al. (1997) and Beer and Ricci (1999). Under
                             the assumption of linearity in incremental damage with incremental exposure, slope
                             factors (SF) could be defined. Figure 4.5 shows some possible forms of  expo-
                             sure–response (E–R) functions as they have been found. E–R functions exist for
                             human health effects, damages to material and crops, and harm to ecosystems.
                             Unfortunately, at the moment sufficient epidemiological data are not available to
                             address human health effects caused by the majority of chemicals. Therefore, the
                             epidemiological approach must be combined with bioassays. Moreover, it should be
                             taken into account that epidemiological data are criticized for providing insights that
                             may be limited to the identification of correlations. A correlation does not necessarily
                             imply a causal relationship; in the case of human data from clinical studies and
                             trials, the causal association is considered to be higher by Crettaz et al. (2002).
                                According to European Commission (1995 and 2000) the E-R functions of
                             macro-pollutants for human health can be subdivided into the seriousness of their
                             effects:


                                        response
                                                     nonlinear function




                                              linear function


                                                                  function with threshold



                                                                            dose
                                             function with fertiliser effect

                             FIGURE 4.5 Possible forms of exposure–response functions. (Adapted from European-Com-
                             mission-DGX11,  ExternE — Externalities of Energy, ECSC-EC-EAEC, Brussels-Luxem-
                             bourg, 1995.)



                             * Epidemiological studies are statistical methods in which causal coherence between environmental
                             pollutant concentration and the occurrence of cases of illness have been thoroughly investigated.
                             ** Experimental studies are laboratory studies with animals and in vitro, whereby safety factors are used
                             for the transfer of the obtained results from animal to human.

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