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336                                                 11  Electronic Commerce Payment Systems and Order Fulfillment

              There is a substantial push by a number of governments to  obvious that the relative importance of a particular method
           eliminate cash transactions as much as possible. However,  varies from one region to another. Clearly, China is an anom-
           because of its ubiquitous role in small-value transactions and  aly because neither credit cards nor debit cards are in its top
           among lower income populations who have few financial  three. In China digital payments are used most frequently by
           alternatives, it’s close to impossible for a government to elimi-  a wide margin. In China the popularity of digital payments
           nate cash even in a country that is economically advanced.  results from the fact that Alibaba is by far the largest EC site
              This pattern between cash and noncash consumer transac-  in the county, and  Alibaba relies on its own proprietary
           tions mirrors the pattern between off-line and online retail   payment system called Alipay. Again, it is also important to
           sales. More specifically, like in-store retail cash is king and  point out that COD is the leading payment method in four
           increasing. However, noncash transactions are increasing  out of the nine areas which all happened to be developing
           more rapidly and gaining market share.  These gains are  economies where there is a large portion of “unbanked.”
           being driven by EC sales transactions. While cash can be
           used for EC purchases (e.g., cash on delivery or transfers
           from cash accounts), the vast majority of these sales involve   Move to Mobile
           noncash payments of various sorts.
              Like cash in the broader world, cards—credit and debit—  It should be no surprise that the world is rapidly adopting
           have been the king of global noncash payments since the  smart phones. According to Ericson (Lunden 2015), in 2015
           early 2000s. Looking at figures from a Capgemini Financial  there were just under two million smartphone users globally,
           Services Analysis (2016), overall noncash payments fall into  around 25% of the world population. By 2016, they expect
           one of four groups—cards, direct debit, credit transfers, and  the number to rise to over six million users or 70% of the
           checks. Except for Europe where cards represent about 45%  world population. Much of this astounding growth is being
           of all noncash payments, in every other region of the world  fueled by developing economies and by the “digital natives”
           the share of card transactions ranges from a low of 50% in  between the ages of 18 and 24.
           Latin America to a high of over 80% in Emerging Asia.  Not surprisingly, the rapid adoption of smartphones is
              Data from worldwide survey of 13,000 consumers in 26  also highlighted by the number of global shipments of new
           countries conducted by Nielsen (2016) provides a closer  smartphones versus  the combined  shipments of other
           look at how noncash transactions are used globally in the  computer- based devices including tablets, 2-in-1 hybrid tab-
           online world. Respondents were asked to indicate what  lets, portable PCs, and desktop PCs (Lunden 2015). At the
           methods they used to make B2C online purchases in the last  end of 2011, new shipments of smartphones exceeded the
           3 months. Payments were divided into five categories—  shipments of PCs of all sorts for the first time. Today, smart-
           credit card, debit cards (third party), digital payments sys-  phones account for 70% of all new shipments. By 2019, the
           tems (e.g., PayPal), direct debit, and cash on delivery (COD).  percent will be close to 80%.
           The top three payment methods for a number of key geo-  Clearly, the PC is on its last breath, but not so fast. First,
           graphical areas are shown in Table 11.1.           ignoring the fact that Apple still refuses to provide touch
              Globally, cards (credit and debit) are the most frequently  screens on the Macbooks, most PCs are morphing into tablet
           used, followed by digital payment systems. However, it’s  devices which have mobile capabilities. Second, many
                                                              smartphone users still have PCs that they use on a daily basis.
           Table 11.1  Percent of respondents using EC payment method in last   Finally, when you look at the EC world, it’s clear that PCs
           3 months                                           still rule the roost in terms of online purchases.
            Country    Credit  Debit  Digital  Direct debit  COD  With respect to this latter claim, consider the data in
            Global     53     49     43      –         –      Figure  11.1. This  figure  shows  the  percent  on  online  pur-
            China      –      –      86      53        49     chases made with tablets, smartphones, and PCs. With the
            India      –      71     –       61        83     exception of two countries—Japan and South Korea where
            SE Asia    57     –      37      35        –      cell phone and smartphone usage is historically very high—
            Western    44     56     56      –         –      PCs account for at least 70% of the purchases. Even in Japan
            Europe                                            and South Korea the numbers are around 50%.
            Eastern    46     –      –       55        57       Why is the percent of online purchases with PCs so much
            Europe
            North      74     –      38      –         –      higher than it is for smartphones? There are a number of rea-
            America                                           sons. One reason is that sizeable percentage of smartphone
            Africa     –      52     –       42        54     users are still hesitant to put personal and credit information
            Latin      65     31     46      –         –      on their phones, fearing it might be stolen and hacked. This
            America                                           is the same sort of fear that slowed the use of credit cards for
            Middle East  46   11     –       –         64     online purchases when EC was first getting started. Obvi-
           Source: Based on data from Nielsen (2016)          ously, consumers got over it and they’ll get over it again with
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