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1.5. Signal Analysis                  29

       1.5.2. STATISTICAL SIGNAL DETECTION

         In the preceding section we illustrated that signal detection can be achieved
       by improving the output signal-to-noise ratio. In fact, the increase in signal-to-
       noise ratio is purposely to minimize the probability of error in signal detection.
       However, in certain signal detections, an increase in the signal-to-noise ratio
       does not necessarily guarantee minimizing the detection error. Nevertheless,
       minimizing the detection error can always be obtained by using a decision
       process.
          Let us consider the detection of binary signals. We establish a Bayes's
       decision rule, in which the conditional probabilities are given by


                                                                     (1.98)
                                           r\p)

       One can write


                          P(a = Q/b)  = P(a = Q)P(b/a = 0)
                          P(0 = l/b)  P(a = l)p(b/a = 1)'              "  J

       where P(0) is the a priori probability of 0; that is, a = I corresponds to the
       signal presented, and 0 = 0 corresponds to no signal.
         A logical decision rule is that, if P(0 = Q/b) > P(a = l/b), we decide that
       there is no signal (0 = 0) for a given b. However, if P(0 = Q/b) < P(a = l/b),
       then we decide that there is a signal (0 = 1) for a given b. Thus, the Bayes's
       decision rule can be written as:

       Accept a = Q if

                                           w
                                            « = l)                  (UOO)

       Accept a — 1 if

                               W «=0) Pjo^J)
                                                                         ;
                               P(b/a = 1) P(a = 0)

       Two possible errors can occur: if we accept that the received event b contains
       no signal (a = 0), but the signal does in fact exist (a = 1); and vice versa. In
       other words, the error of accepting a — 0 when a — 1 has actually occurred is
       a miss, and the error of accepting 0= 1 when a = I has actually not occurred
       is a false alarm.
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