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8   Machinery Component Maintenance and Repair


                           dicted and its consequence reduced by perhaps continuous or daily
                           surveillance.
                        3.  Select PM task.
                        4. Determine normal life span before defect, failure, or deterioration
                           mode will develop.
                        5. Choose PM interval within normal life span.
                        6. Determine who should do the job-operating  crew or maintenance
                           personnel.


                         More often than not we will find that machinery failure modes are
                       probabilistic and indeterminate. PM will therefore not help and predic-
                       tive strategies are indicated: By  continuously looking for problems, we
                       expect not to reduce the deterioration rate of machinery components, but
                       to control the consequences of unexpected defect or failure. This mainte-
                       nance strategy is often referred to as predictive- or condition-based main-
                       tenance. Together with “post mortem” failure analysis8, this strategy is
                       the most powerful weapon in the arsenal of the machinery maintenance
                       person. Figure 1-5 shows how predictive maintenance works in connec-
                       tion with large petrochemical process machinery such as turbocompres-
                       sors, reciprocating compressors, and their drivers.
                         The fundamental difference between preventive maintenance and pre-
                       dictive- or condition-based maintenance strategies is that PM is carried
                       out as soon as a predetermined interval has elapsed, while condition-
                      based maintenance requires checking at predetermined intervals, with the
                       maintenance action carried out only  if  inspection shows that it  is re-
                       quired. The main factors in a predictive machinery maintenance program
                       are:


                         0 State-of-the-art instrumentation and monitoring methods as shown in
                          Table 1-1.
                          Skilled analysts.
                          Information system allowing easy data retrieval.
                          Flexible maintenance organization allowing for an easy operations/
                          maintenance interface.
                         0 Ability to perform on-line analysis’ * .



                         In the following chapters we will further deal with predictive mainte-
                       nance tools.
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