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Chapter 6 Foundations of Business Intelligence: Databases and Information Management 259


               the effect of those decisions. The types of information obtainable from data
               mining include associations, sequences, classifications, clusters, and forecasts.

                  •  Associations are occurrences linked to a single event. For instance, a study
                    of supermarket purchasing patterns might reveal that, when corn chips
                    are  purchased, a cola drink is purchased 65 percent of the time, but when
                    there is a promotion, cola is purchased 85 percent of the time. This informa-
                    tion helps managers make better decisions because they have learned the
                      profitability of a promotion.
                  • In sequences, events are linked over time. We might find, for example, that if
                    a house is purchased, a new refrigerator will be purchased within two weeks
                    65 percent of the time, and an oven will be bought within one month of the
                    home purchase 45 percent of the time.
                  •  Classification recognizes patterns that describe the group to which an
                    item belongs by examining existing items that have been classified and
                    by  inferring a set of rules. For example, businesses such as credit card or
                      telephone companies worry about the loss of steady customers. Classification
                    helps discover the characteristics of customers who are likely to leave and
                    can provide a model to help managers predict who those customers are so
                    that the managers can devise special campaigns to retain such customers.
                  •  Clustering works in a manner similar to classification when no groups have
                    yet been defined. A data mining tool can discover different groupings within
                    data, such as finding affinity groups for bank cards or partitioning a database
                    into groups of customers based on demographics and types of personal
                    investments.
                  •  Although these applications involve predictions, forecasting uses predictions
                    in a different way. It uses a series of existing values to forecast what other
                    values will be. For example, forecasting might find patterns in data to help
                    managers estimate the future value of continuous variables, such as sales
                    figures.
                  These systems perform high-level analyses of patterns or trends, but they
               can also drill down to provide more detail when needed. There are data mining
                 applications for all the functional areas of business, and for government and
                 scientific work. One popular use for data mining is to provide detailed  analyses
               of patterns in customer data for one-to-one marketing campaigns or for
                 identifying profitable customers.
                  Caesars Entertainment, formerly known as Harrah’s Entertainment, is the
                 largest gaming company in the world. It continually analyzes data about its
                 customers gathered when people play its slot machines or use its casinos and
               hotels. The corporate marketing department uses this information to build a
               detailed gambling profile, based on a particular customer’s ongoing value to
               the company. For instance, data mining lets Caesars know the favorite gaming
               experience of a regular customer at one of its riverboat casinos, along with that
               person’s preferences for room accommodations, restaurants, and entertain-
               ment. This information guides management decisions about how to cultivate
               the most profitable customers, encourage those customers to spend more, and
               attract more customers with high revenue-generating potential. Business intel-
               ligence improved Caesars’s profits so much that it became the centerpiece of
               the firm’s business strategy.


               Text Mining and Web Mining
               However, unstructured data, most in the form of text files, is believed to
               account for over 80 percent of useful organizational information and is one







   MIS_13_Ch_06 Global.indd   259                                                                             1/17/2013   2:27:44 PM
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