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Chapter 30 Risk Assessment Applied to off ore Structures              543

                  such circumstance, it may be a critical event. The probability of topside equipment being hit
                  may be expressed as follows:


                                                                                      (30.6)
                  where,
                        A,#   = Area of equipment j  over which loads in category i may occasionally be
                              lifted
                        Afof-j   = Total area of hydrocarbon equipment over which load category i may be
                              lifted
                        f,,   = Ratio of critical area to total area over which lifting is performed
                  The probability of hitting structural components or subsea equipment can be determined in
                  similar equations based on areas over which the lifting is performed.
                  30.5.2  Drop Object Impact Load Assessment

                  In principal, two cases need to be considered regarding the falling objects from the crane:
                     Loads that are dropped on the equipment, structures, deck, or other locations which are
                     above the sea surface.
                     Loads that  are dropped  into the  sea  and possibly hit  structures in the water or  subsea
                     equipment on the sea bottom.
                  The first case has only one phase, i.e. the fall through air. The second case has three phases,
                  falling through the air, impact with the sea surface, and the fall through the water. Idealized
                  calculations to  determine the  impact velocities in these three phases are briefly presented
                 below. The drift caused by the currents may also be taken into account when calculating the
                 most probable landing point on the seabed.
                  Fall through the Air
                 A falling object will accelerate towards the sea surface in accordance with the force of gravity.
                 The impact velocity  can be determined by:

                      v, =J27qk                                                       (30.7)
                 where,
                       h      = Height from which the drop occurs
                       g      = Gravity acceleration
                 Impact with the Water
                 A falling object may hit the sea surface and proceed through the water with the velocity Vz , as
                 determined by Eq.  (30.8).  The integral represents the loss of momentum during the impact
                 with the water surface.


                                                                                      (30.8)
                 where,
                       M      = Object mass
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