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86     PART 2    CAPTURING MARKETING INSIGHTS



                                        These definitions are a useful tool for market planning. If the company isn’t satisfied with its
                                      current sales, it can try to attract a larger percentage of buyers from its target market. It can lower
                                      the qualifications for potential buyers. It can expand its available market by opening distribution
                                      elsewhere or lowering its price, or it can reposition itself in the minds of its customers.

                                      A Vocabulary for Demand Measurement

                                      The major concepts in demand measurement are market demand and company demand. Within
                                      each, we distinguish among a demand function, a sales forecast, and a potential.

                                      MARKET DEMAND The marketer’s first step in evaluating marketing opportunities is to
                                      estimate total market demand. Market demand for a product is the total volume that would be
                                      bought by a defined customer group in a defined geographical area in a defined time period in a
                                      defined marketing environment under a defined marketing program.
                                        Market demand is not a fixed number, but rather a function of the stated conditions. For this
                                      reason, we call it the market demand function. Its dependence on underlying conditions is illus-
                                      trated in   Figure 3.3(a). The horizontal axis shows different possible levels of industry
                                      marketing expenditure in a given time period. The vertical axis shows the resulting demand
                                      level. The curve represents the estimated market demand associated with varying levels of
                                      marketing expenditure.
                                        Some base sales—called the market minimum and labeled Q 1 in the figure—would take place
                                      without any demand-stimulating expenditures. Higher marketing expenditures would yield higher
                                      levels of demand, first at an increasing rate, then at a decreasing rate. Take fruit juices. Given the in-
                                      direct competition they face from other types of beverages, we would expect increased marketing
                                      expenditures to help fruit juice products stand out and increase demand and sales. Marketing
                                      expenditures beyond a certain level would not stimulate much further demand, suggesting an
                                      upper limit called the market potential and labeled Q 2 in the figure.
                                        The distance between the market minimum and the market potential shows the overall
                                      marketing sensitivity of demand. We can think of two extreme types of markets, the expansible and
                                      the nonexpansible. An expansible market, such as the market for racquetball playing, is very much
                                      affected in size by the level of industry marketing expenditures. In terms of Figure 3.3(a), the
                                      distance between Q 1 and Q 2 is relatively large. A nonexpansible market—for example, the market
                                      for weekly trash or garbage removal—is not much affected by the level of marketing expenditures;
                                      the distance between Q 1 and Q 2 is relatively small. Organizations selling in a nonexpansible market
                                      must accept the market’s size—the level of primary demand for the product class—and direct their
                                      efforts toward winning a larger market share for their product, that is, a higher level of selective
                                      demand for their product.
                                        It pays to compare the current and potential levels of market demand. The result is the market-
                                      penetration index. A low index indicates substantial growth potential for all the firms. A high
                                      index suggests it will be expensive to attract the few remaining prospects. Generally, price competi-
                                      tion increases and margins fall when the market-penetration index is already high.



                                     (a)  Marketing Demand as a Function of Industry   (b)  Marketing Demand as a Function of Industry
                                        Marketing Expenditure (assumes a particular      Marketing Expenditure (two different
                                                                                          environments assumed)
                                              marketing environment)
                             Market Demand in the Specific Period  Market  F 2  Planned  Market Demand in the Specific Period  Market  Prosperity
                               Market
                               potential, Q
                                                                           potential
                               Market
                                                                           (prosperity)
                               forecast, Q
                                                                           Market
                                                                                                       Recession
                                                                           potential
                                                                           (recession)
                                               expenditure
                               minimum, Q 1
                                           Industry Marketing Expenditure

                            |Fig. 3.3|    Market Demand Functions                      Industry Marketing Expenditure
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