Page 38 - Modern Spatiotemporal Geostatistics
P. 38

Spatiotemporal  Mapping  in  Natural  Sciences       19



        COMMENT 1.3: Most studies of the scientific  method   (e.g. , Lastrucci, 1967;
        Kosso, 1998)  show  that  the most  ardent  "believer  in  data"   eventually  real-


        izes that  these  data  are   valid  and   meaningful   because   they   rest   upon   some

        theory of   significance  and   credibility,   even  though he/she  may   not   have  rea-

        soned through the  surface  of   the  data  to their origin in the  theoretical notion







        which supports  them.   I n th e words   o f Wang   (1993,   p. 168):   ".. . a   safe  be t


        is that,  without a good  theory,   even  if  the  data   are  thrown in the  face  of   the

         'data analyst,'   the   chance   that   he  will   find   anything   significant  is   next   to
        zero."
        Spatiotemporal     geometry
        Spatiotemporal  structures  differ,  as do  the  geometries  which  describe  them.
        Euclidean formulas,  e.g., are appropriate for  geometric  figures on flat surfaces,
        but  generally  are inappropriate  for  describing  intrinsically  geometric  relations
        on  curved surfaces.  Several  other examples will  be discussed in  Chapter  2.
            Classical  geostatistics  routinely  employs the  Cartesian coordinate  system
        equipped  with  a  Euclidean metric  (distance),  and considers time merely  as an
        additional  dimension.  Within  such a framework,  space and time  have an exis-
        tence  all  on their  own,  independent  of  the  existence of  physical  processes and
        objects.  In  many  applications,  however,  Cartesian geometry  is  not  a  realistic
        model  of  the  physical situation, which  requires a higher  level of  understanding
        of the  Spatiotemporal domain.  In many cases, this understanding involves non-
        Cartesian coordinate  systems and non-Euclidean metrics.  Also, the concepts of
        absolute  space and time—independent  of  the  underlying  physical processes—
        usually  do  not  exist  in  the  real world.  Applications  discussed in  Schafer-Neth
        and  Stattegger  (1998)  as well  as in  Christakos  et al.  (2000a)  have shown that
        the  mapping  techniques  of  classical geostatistics—which  rely  on  Cartesian co-
        ordinate  systems or  use a  physically  inappropriate  Euclidean  metric—can  lead
        to  inaccurate  maps which  imply  false conclusions  (see  Chapter  2,  Examples
        2.31  and 2.32,  p. 67).  The  inadequacy of classical geostatistics  to  handle these
        situations  requires  the  development  of  new  methods,  as  is  suggested  by  the
        following  postulate.

         POSTULATE    1.4:  Modern Spatiotemporal  geostatistics  recognizes  that
        Spatiotemporal  geometry  is not  a  purely  mathematical  affair  and  relies
        on  physical  knowledge  in order  to  decide  which  mathematical geometry
        best  describes  reality.

             Postulate  1.4  essentially  expresses the  view  that  the  Spatiotemporal  ge-
        ometry  of  modern  geostatistical  applications  is intimately  connected with  the
         laws of the  physical domain and cannot  exist  independent of them.  As a result,
         in  practical  applications  it  is  necessary  to  investigate  whether  the traditional
        geometrical  structures  need to  be replaced by a physically more meaningful spa-
        tiotemporal  geometry.  The  appropriate  coordinate  system  should  allow,  e.g.,
         representations  of  the  Spatiotemporal  geometry  on the  basis  of  the  underlying
   33   34   35   36   37   38   39   40   41   42   43