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362     7 Probability theory and stochastic simulation










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                   Figure 7.15 Partial trajectory of a simulated annealing run of a cost function with multiple minima.

                     Figure 7.15 shows the contour plot of this cost function, overlaid with the trajectory of the
                                                                          (1)
                   simulation (not all points are shown). The simulation was started at ˜x , a local minimum
                   but not the global minimum, at which any of the deterministic optimization methods of
                   Chapter 5 terminate immediately. Eventually, the stochastic simulation is able to overcome
                   the barrier to settle finally at the global minimum. We see also that the irregular shape of
                   the cost function surface near the partition between points closest to ˜x (1)  and those nearest
                   to ˜x (2)  does not pose a significant problem but would for the deterministic algorithms of
                   Chapter 5. The program sim-anneal-ext.m generates a movie showing the progress of
                   simulated annealing for a 1-D cost function with multiple local minima.



                   Genetic programming

                   We mention here another method, genetic programming, to identify global minima. While
                   simulated annealing is based on an analogy from physics, genetic algorithms take their
                   inspiration from biology. The general idea is to let an initial guess of the parameter vector
                   evolve to improve the cost function in a manner that mimics natural selection. At each
                   generation of the evolutionary process, there are n p members of the population, but only
                   the “best” n s < n p survive to the next generation. In contrast to simulated annealing, at
                   each iteration, the best population member is at least as good as the initial guess, so this
                   algorithm is popular for those wishing merely to improve a design and not necessarily to
                   obtain the optimum. Genetic algorithms are easily adapted to problems with discrete-valued
                   parameters, although the method is presented here for a continuous parameter vector.
                                                                       [1]
                     First, we start the calculation with some initial first member x . From this guess, the
                   generation is filled by creating new members through a combined process of single-member
                   mutation and dual-member crossing. For each k = 2, 3,..., n p , we add a new member
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