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                    120                                                                      Chapter 5


                  Table 5-4           Technology and Capacities     Current versus Future Technology

                  A Look at What
                                      DWDM at OC-192 and 40         Current technology capable of carrying 40
                  DWDM and Fiber                                    different wavelengths (using ITU 100-GHz
                  Rates Will Bring                                  spacing) at 10 Gbps each or 400 Gbps. Cur-
                                                                    rently, the industry has achieved 320 Gbps,
                  over the Next
                                                                    with the 400-Gbps rate available in the
                  Decade                                            very near future.
                                      DWDM at OC-192 and 80         The current spacing of 100 GHz as speci-
                                                                    fied by the ITU is under attack. The near
                                                                    future holds the promise of doubling the
                                                                    number of wavelengths by using 50-GHz
                                                                    spacing, allowing up to twice as many
                                                                    wavelengths on the same fiber (80) each
                                                                    operating at 10 Gbps.

                                      DWDM at OC-768 and 40         This is a turn-of-the-century technology
                                                                    with up to 40 Gbps per wavelength and 40
                                                                    wavelengths or a total of approximately
                                                                    1.6 Tbps.
                                      DWDM at OC-768 and 80         By the year 2002, we can probably expect to
                                                                    see OC-768 plus the use of 80 wavelengths,
                                                                    or a 3.2-Tbps throughput on fiber.

                                      DWDM at OC-192 and 160        By the year 2005, we can expect to see the
                                                                    decreased spacing of wavelengths and
                                                                    tighter tolerances on fiber lasers yielding a
                                                                    total of 160 different wavelengths at 10
                                                                    Gbps each, or back to the 1.6-Tbps rate.

                                      DWDM at OC-768 and 160        These 2008-2009 technologies will again
                                                                    double the capacity and yield 160 different
                                                                    wavelengths at the OC-768 rate (40 Gbps),
                                                                    or netting 6.4 Tbps on a single fiber.



                                        These rates are all projected to be available in the next decade.
                                     However, because the technology seems to be doubling every 6 to 12
                                     months, the rates shown in Table 5-4 could happen as soon as 2005.
                                     The issue is not how long it will take, but the ability to drive better
                                     and faster data and other communications needs on the same fibers.
                                     The future holds a lot of excitement with these speeds.
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