Page 146 - Origin and Prediction of Abnormal Formation Pressures
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            Chapter 5



            METHODS    OF  ESTIMATING  AND  PREDICTING     ABNORMAL     FORMATION
            PRESSURES


            G.V. CHILINGAR, V.A. SEREBRYAKOV, S.A.  KATZ and J.O.  ROBERTSON JR.




            INTRODUCTION

               Most of the pressure detection techniques  described in the literature are based mainly
            on  the  observation  that  many  overpressured  rocks  are  associated  with  undercompacted
            shales.  The  greater  the  undercompaction,  the  higher  the  porosity,  and  the  greater
            the  percentage  of  the  load  carried  by  the  intergranular  fluid.  Undercompaction  and
            decompaction  often  result  in  the  creation  of  higher  porosity  in  comparison  with  a
            normal  compaction  trend.  Weller  (1959)  and  Vassoevich  (1960)  noted  that  shales  can
            be  used  as  a  geologic  manometer.  They  found  interrelationships  among  the  degree  of
            compaction,  shale porosity,  and overburden  and formation pressures.  There are different
            shale  porosity  versus  depth  curves  for  various  lithologic  cross-sections  and  different
            basins.  The  normal  compaction  trend  must be  known  to  estimate  the  correct  abnormal
            pressure  for  (1)  each  basin,  (2)  each  oil  and  gas  field,  and  maybe  (3)  each  well  (see
            Rieke and Chilingarian,  1974).
               A  major  problem  when  drilling  new  wells  in  an  abnormally  pressured  area  is  that
            of  identifying  an  abnormally  pressured  formation  prior  to  drilling  into  it.  Drilling
            unexpectedly  into  an  abnormally  pressured  formation  (AHFP)  can  result  in  costly
            drilling  expenses.  These costs  can be  avoided through  the observation  of a combination
            of  several  formation-pressure  indicators.  These  include  surface  and  borehole  seismic,
            drilling,  and well logging data. Although  several such indicators  should be monitored  at
            the wellsite, not all data are usable  or necessarily required in any one drilling operation.
            Drilling  operations  in  overpressured  environments  should  incorporate  the  following
            steps:  (1)  planning  the  well-  gathering  and  interpretation  of  all  known  information
            of  the  region  in  which  the  well  is  to  be  drilled;  (2)  preparation  of  a  preliminary
            drilling  program  with  educated guesses about  the potential  of encountering  abnormally
            pressured  formations;  and  (3) review  and revision  of the  drilling  program  as the well is
            being drilled.  One should always have contingency plans prepared if an abnormally high
            pressured  formation  is encountered  so that all decisions  can be  made  quickly.  It should
            be  remembered  that  drilling  operations,  drilling  fluids  (muds),  and  casing  constitute
            major  costs  in  a  drilling  program.  Also,  a  review  of  the  regional  fracture  pressure
            gradient,  as  well  as  the  pore-pressure  variations,  should  be  estimated  prior  to  drilling
            and  continuously  monitored  while  drilling  the  well  in  order  to  design  an  effective  and
            economical  drilling  mud program.  Sometimes,  a well can be lost due to a blowout  if an
            AHFP is unexpectedly encountered.
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