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            another part of  the reservoir rock). We  are therefore forced to conclude that
            oil migrates into a reservoir as a “stream” in which physical continuity of the
            oil is  maintained.  Such  streams have  not  been  identified  with  confidence.
            There  is  much  conflicting evidence in this fundamental  topic of  petroleum
            geology, and there is no general agreement amongst geologists on the nature
            of oil migration.
              Many geological and petroleum  geological inferences are based on associa-
            tions.  The association of  lithologies in a sequence, and the association of the
            contained fossils, is the basis for correlating rock units and for the interpre-
            tation  of  the  environment  in  which  the  sediment accumulated. Consistent
            association of  a particular fauna with a lithology leads to the conclusion that
            the  fauna  is  “facies-bound”.  The association  of  petroleum  with  anticlines
            rather than synclines indicates accumulation under the influence of gravity,
            with  an  upward  component  of  movement  of  the  less  dense  petroleum
            through the denser formation* water.
              Associations are  notoriously  difficult to use in geological (and other) in-
            ference because a causal relationship does not necessarily exist. Associations
            such as those between the consumption  of  alcohol and teachers’ salaries, or
            between Denmark’s birthrate and her stork population, are amusing. Perhaps
            we would find some geological associations amusing if  we knew all the facts.
            Consider the following common associations with depth:
            - Temperature increases.
            - Fluid pressure increases.
            - Water salinity tends to increase.
            - Water density, as measured at the surface, tends to increase.
            - Oil density tends to decrease in successive reservoirs in one field.
            - Mudstone bulk density tends to increase.
            These six associations with depth, seven items in all, lead to 21 consequent
            associations that can be shown in a correlation half-matrix (Fig. 4-1). Some
            of  these are clearly not causal relationships.  For example, the association of
            increasing water  density  with  increasing temperature  is demonstrably false
            (indirect) because water expands when heated more than the pressure com-
            presses it, and its density decreases (Fig. 4-2). Is the increase in water salinity
            with  depth due to increasing temperature? . . . or pressure?. . . or both? Or
            is  it perhaps related  to the increase in mudstone  bulk density, that is, with
            the  expulsion  of  pore  water  on  compaction?  Is  the  commonly  observed
            decrease of  oil density in successive reservoirs with depth to be attributed to
            temperature, or the salinity of the water, or to none of these?
              The increase in temperature is caused  by  none of the listed factors, nor is
            the  increase in mudstone density.  It could  be that the only causal relation-



            * “Formation” does not have a strict connotation in petroleum geology outside its purely
            geological context.
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