Page 134 - Pipeline Risk Management Manual Ideas, Techniques, and Resources
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Risk variables and scoring 511 11
               Table 5.6  Possible categorization of natural hazards   Construction activities near or in the pipeline right of way may
                                                         produce slopes that are not stable and could put the pipeline at
               Cutego?y     Subrategoy       Specific Events   risk. These  activities  include  excavation for road  or railway
                                                         cuts, removal of material from the toe of a slope, or adding sig-
               Geotechnical   On-ROW instability   Landslide   nificant material to the crest of a slope. Given that maintenance
                                             Soil erosion
                                             Liquefaction   activity involving excavation could potentially occur without
                            Off-ROW          Landslide    engineering  supervision,  standard  procedures  may  be  war-
                                             Rockslide    ranted to require notification of an engineer should such condi-
                                             Debris flows   tions be found to exist.
                            Tsunami                        In  soil  sliding  analyses,  a  pipeline  experiences  axial  and
                            Volcano                       bending loads depending on the direction of sliding movement
                            Fault rupture                 with respect to the pipe axis. Axial strains in the pipeline are
              Hydrotechnical   Scour                      caused by  soil sliding normal to the pipe axis. If the  sliding
                            Channel degradation           movement is 90 degrees to the pipe axis, the pipeline will pre-
                            Bank erosion
                            Encroachment                 dominantly  experience tensile  strain with small compressive
                            Avulsion                     bending strains present at the transition zones of the liquefied
                                                          and nonliquefied  soil sections. If the sliding movement is 45
               Source: Porter, M.,  and  K.  W.  Savigny, "Natural Hazard  and  Risk   degrees to  the  pipeline,  both  compressive  and  tensile  axial
               Management  for  South American  Pipelines," Proceedings of  IPC   strains increase significantly due to the combination of axial
              2002:  4th  International  Pipeline  Conference,  Calgary,  Canada,   and bending loads.
               September  2002.
                                                           Impact loadings are also possible, especially involving rock-
                                                         slides and above ground pipeline components. An  evaluation
                                                         for  rockfall  hazards  to  railroads  has  identified  some  key
              creep are the more well-known downslope movement phenom-   variables to assess. These are shown inTable 5.7. An evaluation
              ena. Another movement involving freezing, thawing, and grav-   methodology like this is readily modified to be applicable to
              ity is solifluction, a cold-regions phenomenon distinct from the   pipelines.
              more common movements [93].                  Some available  databases provide  rankings for  landslide
                Landslides can occur from heavy rain, especially on slopes   potential. As with soils data, these are very coarse rankings
              or hillsides with heavy cutting of vegetation or loadings from   and  are  best  supplemented  with  field  surveys  or  local
              construction or other activities that disturb the land. Slides can   know ledge.
              also be caused by seismic activity. Landslide displacement of
              pipe can cause structural damage and leaks by increased exter-   Soils (shrink, swell, subsidence, settling)
              nal force loading if the pipeline is buried under displaced soil.
              Landslides can happen offshore also, with rock fall damage to   Effects that are not slope oriented include changes in soil vol-
              pipeline possible.                         ume causing shrinkage, swelling, or subsidence. These can be
                Slope issues can be an important but often overlooked aspect   caused by differential heating, cooling, or moisture contents.
              of changing pipeline stability. Slope alterations near, but out-   Sudden subsidence or settling can cause shear forces as well as
              side. the right  of way  by  third  parties  should be  monitored.   bending stresses.


                                        nrinil.ral slope     Pipe position after
                                                            slope failure-this
                                                            displacement has added
                                                             bending stresses to the
                                                            pipeline
                         Original
                         position                                 A-      Slope profile
                                       ,\  '---                           after slow




                                 failure of 2L                                 /
                                            \
                                                                   /
                                                        .---
                                 Line
                                       slope
                                                                    /
                                            Figure 5.5  Sudden slope failure over pipeline.
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