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5/112 Design Index
           Table 5.7  Rockfall hazard assessment-elative  probability

           Category                 Pammeters                  Comments
           Source volumes           Volume of rock that could fall during any   Uses three categories ofpotential volume; highest
                                     one event.                 category is >3m3.
           Likelihood of source volume   Structural geology    “Favorable”  or “unfavorable” geological orientations.
            detaching and reaching railroad track   Effective mitigation   Use ofmeasures to either hold source volumes in
                                                                place (anchors, dowels, etc) or protect the track
                                                                (ditches, berms, etc). Measures are judged as either
                                                                “effective” or “ineffective.”
                                    Natural barriers           “Effective” aprons, dense vegetation, larger distances,
                                                                etc. that prevent contact with track.
           Rock size                                           Probability of certain dimensions and fragmentation
                                                                of falling rock; characterizes resultant rubble on
                                                                track.
           Source: Porter, M., A. Baumgard, and K. W. Savigny, “A Hazard and Risk Management System for Large Rock Slope Hazards Affecting Pipelines in
           Mountainous Terrain,” Proceedings of  IPC 2002: 4th International Pipeline Conference, Calgary, Canada, September 2002.

             Many pipelines traverse areas of highly expansive clays that   at  which  they  may  no  longer support  the  pipeline.  Strong
           are  particularly  susceptible to  swelling  and  shrinkage  due   ground  motions  can  damage aboveground  structures.  Fault
           to moisture content changes. These effects can be especially   movements sometimes cause severe stresses in buried pipe. A
           pronounced if the soil is confined between  nonyielding sur-   landslide can overstress both aboveground and buried facilities.
           faces. Such movements of soil against the pipe can damage the   Threats from seismic events include
           pipe coating and induce stresses in the pipe wall. Good installa-
           tion practice avoids embedding pipes directly in such soils. A   Pipeline seismic shaking due to the propagation of seismic
           bedding material is used to surround the line to protect the coat-   waves
           ing and the pipe. Again, rigid pipes are more susceptible to   Pipeline transverse and longitudinal sliding due to soil lique-
           structural damage from expansive soils.      faction
             The potential for the shrink or swell behavior ofpipeline foun-   Pipeline flotation and settlement due to soil liquefaction
           dation soils can lead to excessive pipe deflections. The potential   Failure of surface soils (soil raveling)
           for  excessive  stresses is  often  seen  in  locations where  the   Seismic-induced tsunami  loads that  can  adversely affect
           pipeline connects with a facility (pump station or terminal) on a   pipelines.
           foundation. In this circumstance, the difference in loading on
           foundation soils below the pipeline and below the facility could   Key variables that influence a pipe’s vulnerability to seismic
           lead to differences in settlement and stresses on connections.   events include
             Frost  heave  is  a  cold-region phenomenon involving  tem-
           perature and moisture effects that cause soil movements. As ice   Pipeline characteristics
           or ice lenses are formed in the soil, the soil expands due to the   Diameter  (empirical  evidencedata  from  past  seismic
           freezing of the moisture. This expansion can cause vertical or   events-indicates   that  larger diameters have lower failure
           uplift pressure on a buried pipeline. The amount of increased   rates)
           load on the pipe is partially dependent on the depth of frost pen-   Material (cast iron and other more brittle pipe materials tend
           etration and the pipe characteristics. Rigid pipes are more easily   to perform worse)
           damaged by this phenomenon. Pipelines are generally placed at   Age (under the presumption that age is correlated to level of
           depths below the frost lines to avoid frost loading problems.   deterioration, older systems might  have more weaknesses
             Previous  mining  (coal  for  example)  operations  might   and hence, be more vulnerable to damage)
           increase the threat of subsidence in  some areas. Changes in   Joining (continuous pipelines such as welded steel, tend to
           groundwater can also contribute to the subsidence threat.   perform better than systems with joints such as flanges or
             Ground surface subsidence can be a regional phenomenon. It   couplings)
           may be a consequence of excessive rates of pumpage of water   Branches (presence of connections and branches tends to
           from the ground and occasionally from production of oil and   concentrate stresses leading to more failures)
           gas at shallow depths. This phenomenon occurs where fluids   Seismic event characteristics
           are produced from unconsolidated strata that compact as pore   0  Peak ground velocity
           fluid pressures are reduced.                   Peak ground deformation
                                                          Faultoffset
           Seismic                                        Landslide potential
                                                          Liquefaction
           Seismic events pose another threat to pipelines. Aboveground   Settlement.
           facilities are generally considered to be more vulnerable than
           buried facilities, however, high  stress mechanisms can be at   To design a pipeline to withstand seismic forces, earthquake
           work in either case. Liquefaction fluidizes sandy soils to a level   type and frequency parameters must be defined. This is often
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