Page 33 - Pipeline Risk Management Manual Ideas, Techniques, and Resources
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1/12 Risk: Theory and Application
              Resource allocation-where   and when to spend discre-   Consequences considered-public  safety only, environ-
              tionary  and/or  mandated  capital  andor  maintenance   ment, cost of service interruption, employee safety, etc.
              funds                                      Facilities  covered-pipe   only,  valves,  fittings,  pumps,
              Design  or  mod&  an  operating  discipline-reate   an   tanks, loading facilities, compressor stations, etc.
              O&M plan consistent with risk management concepts   Scoring-define  scoring  protocols,  establish  point
              Regulatory  compliance for  risk  assessment-if   risk   ranges (resolution)
              assessment itself is mandated              Direction  of  scale-higher   points  can  indicate  either
              Regulatory compliance for all required activities-  flags   more safety or more risk
              are raised to indicate potential noncompliances   Point assignments-addition  of points only, multiplica-
              Regulatory compliance waivers-where  risk-based justi-   tions, conditionals (if X then  Y), category weightings,
              fications provide the basis to request waivers of specific   independent variables, flat or multilevel structures
              integrity assessment or maintenance activities   Resolution issues-range   of  diameters, pressures, and
              Project  appmvals+ostlbenefit   calculations,  project   products
              prioritizations and justifications         Defaults-philosophy   of assigning values when little or
              Preventive maintenance schedules-creating  multiyear   no information is available
              integrity assessment plans or overall maintenance priori-   Zone-ofinfluence  distances-for  what  distance does a
              ties and schedules                         piece of data provide evidence on adjacent lengths ofpipe
              Due diligence-investigation   and  evaluation of  assets   Relative versus absolure4hoice of presentation format
              that might be acquired, leased, abandoned,  or sold, from a   and possibly model approach
              risk perspective                           Reporting-types   and frequency of output and presenta-
              Liability reduction-reduce  the number, frequency, and   tions needed
              severity of  failures, as  well  as the  severity of  failure
              consequences, to  lower  current  operating and  indirect   General beliefs
              liability-related costs
              Risk  communications-present   risk  information  to  a   In addition to basic assumptions regarding the risk assessment
              number of different audiences with different interests and   model, some philosophical beliefs underpin this entire book. It
              levels of technical abilities          is usell to state these clearly at this point, so the reader may be
          4.  Users-This  might overlap the audience group:   alerted to any possible differences from her own beliefs. These
              Internal only                          are stated as beliefs rather than facts since they are arguable and
              Technical staffonlwngineering, compliance, integrity,   others might disagree to some extent:
              and information technology (IT) departments
              Managers-budget   authorization,  technical  support,   0  Risk  management techniques are  fundamentally decision
              operations                               support tools. Pipeline operators in particular will find most
              Planning department-facility   expansion, acquisitions,   valuable  a  process  that  takes  available  information  and
              and operations                           assimilates it into some clear,  simple results. Actions can
              District-level supervisors-maintenance  and operations   then be based directly on those simple results.
              Regulators-if  regulators are shown the risk model or its   0  We  must go through  some complexity in order to achieve
              results                                  “intelligent  simplification.”  Many  processes,  originating
              Other  oversight-ity   council,  investment  partners,   from sometimes complex scientific principles, are “behind
              insurance carrier, etc.-if   access given  in  order to  do   the scenes” in a good risk assessment system. These must be
              what-ifs, etc.                           well documented and available, but need not interfere with
              Public  presentations-public   bearings  for  proposed   the casual users of the methodology (everyone does not need
              projects                                 to understand the engine in order to benefit from use of the
          5.  Resources-Who   and  what  is  available  to  support  the   vehicle).  Engineers  will  normally  seek  a  rational  basis
            program?                                   underpinning a system before they will accept it. Therefore,
              Data-type,  format, and quality of existing data   the basis must be well documented.
              Sofhvare-urrent   environments’ suitability as residence   In most cases, we are more interested in identifying locations
              for risk model                           where  a  potential  failure  mechanism is  more  aggressive
              Hardware-urrent   communications and data manage-   rather than predicting the length of time the mechanism must
              ment systems                             be active before failure occurs.
              Staff--availability  of  qualified  people  to  design  the   A  proper  amount  of  modeling  resolution  is  needed.
              model and populate it with required data   The  model  should  be  able  to  quantify  the  benefit  of
              Monq~-availability  of  funds to outsource data collec-   any  and  all  actions,  from  something as  simple as  “add
              tion, database and model design, etc.    2 new ROW markers” all the way up to “reroute the entire
              Industry-access  to  best  industry practices,  standards,   pipeline.”
              and knowledge                            Many  variables impact pipeline risk. Among  all  possible
          6.  Designxhoices in model features, format, and capabili-   variables, choices are required that yield a balance between a
            ties:                                      comprehensive model (one that covers all of the important
              Scope                                    stuff)  and an unwieldy model (one with too many relatively
              Failure  causes  considered-corrosion,  sabotage,  land   unimportant details). Users should be allowed to determine
              movements, third party, human error, etc.   their own optimum level of complexity. Some will choose to
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