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11



                           Likelihood Ratio and Other Tests



                           11.1 Introduction

                           In Chapter 8, a theory of UMP level a tests was developed for a simple null
                           hypothesis against a lower- or upper-sided alternative hypothesis. But, we
                           have mentioned that even in a one-parameter problem, sometimes a UMP
                           level a test does not exist when choosing between a simple null hypothesis
                           against a two-sided alternative hypothesis. Recall the situation from Section
                           8.5.1 in the case of testing the mean of a normal distribution with known
                           variance when the alternative hypothesis was two-sided. One may also recall
                           the Exercises 8.5.2, 8.5.4 and 8.5.5 in this context. In these situations, the
                           likelihood ratio tests provide useful methodologies. This general approach to
                           construct test procedures for composite null and alternative hypotheses was
                           developed by Neyman and Pearson (1928a,b,1933a,b).
                              We start with iid real valued random variables X , ..., X  having a common
                                                                      1
                                                                           n
                           pdf f(x; θ) where the unknown parameter θ consists of p(≥ 1) components
                                            p
                           (θ , ..., θ ) ∈ Θ(⊆ ℜ ). We wish to test
                             1    p

                           with a given level α where Θ  = Θ – Θ , 0 < α < 1. First, let us write down the
                                                   1
                                                           0
                           likelihood function:


                           Then, we look at        which is interpreted as the best evidence in favor

                           of the null hypothesis H . On the other hand,    is interpreted as the
                                               0
                           overall best evidence in favor of θ without regard to any restrictions. Now,
                           the likelihood ratio (LR) test statistic is defined as




                           whereas the LR test is implemented as follows:


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