Page 188 - Process Modelling and Simulation With Finite Element Methods
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Simulation und Nonlinear Dynamics         175

             So  is  there  any  point  in  using  PDE  based  models  to  describe  complex
          systems for which the  complexity  is practically  indescribable?  Of  course, we
          can derive or pose PDEs for the dynamics of the statistics (traditional turbulence
          modeling) or to collate the statistics of the dynamics.  In meteorology, the latter
          is termed ensemble forecasting, and it is an attempt to quantify likely behavior of
          emergent properties, rather than to average out uncertainty.

          Stability and Eigenanalysis: Time Asymptotic Behavior
          Key to the evolution of nonlinear systems is the notion of stability.  A state of a
          system, uo(t), is  said to be  stable if  small perturbations, 6, do not  displace the
          new state of the system, u(t), very far from the original state.  The concepts of a
          ‘state’, how you measure ‘small’ and  ‘how far’ two states are separated need to
          be  precisely  defined  for  stability  (and  therefore  instability)  to  be  a  useful
          concept.
             The operational definition of a state u(t) is simply to list all of the degrees of
          freedom necessary  to uniquely  define a recurring pattern in the  system.  For a
          FEM  model,  this  means  giving  the  time  dependence  of  a  solution  which  is
          typically either stationary or periodic.  The exception is that a chaotic attractor is
          also  a  ‘state’  of  a  dynamical  system,  deterministically  known  as  a  solution
          trajectory u(t) from an initial state, but not uniquely defined as the attractor is an
          ‘asymptotic state’ - many initial conditions are attracted after a long time to this
          state.  In  fact,  the  states  of  FEM  models  are  easier  to  describe  than  for  the
          underlying pde system, which is inherently infinite dimensional.  Once the trial
          functions and finite elements are chosen, a FEM model is finite dimensional and
          the degrees of freedom necessary to define a state is just the space of all possible
          solution vectors.
             In terms of FEM models, it is also straightforward to describe the stability of
          a solution trajectory  u(t).  Consider the FEM operator that maps the solution at
          time t to the solution at time t+At:

                                 N{U (t)} = u (t + ~t)                 (5.1)
          Conventionally,  for  small  time  steps,  this  operator  can  be  linearized,  so  that
          when applied to the perturbed system, we can compute
                             N{u(~) + 6} = u (t + ~t)+~6               (5.2)

          where L is the Jacobian of N

                                         aNi
                                    L.. =-   (4                        (5.3)
                                      ‘1  auj
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