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P. 172

Chapter 8

                                    Analysis of Performance Potential




                                                                              Daniela Lohaus
                                                          CMG Industrie GmbH, Eschborn, Germany, and
                                                                           Martin Kleinmann
                                                              University of Marburg, Marburg, Germany



                        INTRODUCTION 156                    METHODOLOGICAL ISSUES IN THE MEASUREMENT
                        DELINEATION OF PERFORMANCE POTENTIAL  OF POTENTIAL 166
                        ANALYSIS 156                          NEEDS ANALYSIS 166
                          DEFINITION OF CONSTITUENTS 156      IDENTIFICATION OF FUTURE JOB FUNCTIONS AND REQUIRED
                          DEFINITION OF POTENTIAL ANALYSIS 158  QUALIFICATIONS 167
                          DELIMITATION OF POTENTIAL ANALYSIS AGAINST  STABILITY OF PERSONAL CHARACTERISTICS 168
                          PERFORMANCE APPRAISAL 160           UNCERTAINTY OF PREDICTIONS 168
                        POTENTIAL ANALYSIS IN THE CONTEXT OF HRM  RELIABILITY AND VALIDITY OF JUDGES’RATINGS 169
                        FUNCTIONS 162                       METHODS OF POTENTIAL ANALYSIS 171
                        OBJECTIVES OF POTENTIAL ANALYSIS 164  REFERENCES 173



                        SUMMARY
                            Performance potential refers to the capability of an individual to perform at a certain
                            level. The analysis of potential seeks to estimate the degree to which performance-
                            related skills and abilities that already exist, or do not yet exist, will develop or
                            could be developed. However, for potential to be actually transferred into performance,
                            motivation has to supervene. Thus, the estimation of potential should include measures
                            of motivation. Potential analyses are done for current employees as well as for job
                            applicants—though, to a lesser extent for the latter. They follow a range of objectives
                            whose achievement is more likely if procedures are fair and transparent for participants.
                            Human resources personnel who develop a potential analysis system in order to predict
                            future performance are faced with a number of methodological issues, each of which
                            is of critical importance for the quality of the potential analysis. Various methods to
                            analyze potential are used, with assessment centers (ACs; recently dynamic ACs have
                            gained increasing popularity) probably being the most common. Although ACs suit best
                            the needs to reconcile placement decisions with the company culture, there is evidence
                            that general mental ability best predicts future performance.











                        Psychological Management of Individual Performance. Edited by Sabine Sonnentag.
                         C   2002 John Wiley& Sons, Ltd.  ISBN: 0-471-87726-3
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