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Chapter 13


                              BUILDING EMPIRICALLY PLAUSIBLE
                              MULTI-AGENT SYSTEMS


                              A Case Study of Innovation Diffusion


                              Edmund Chattoe
                              Department of Sociology, University of Oxford


                              Abstract   Multi-Agent Systems (MAS) have great potential for explaining interactions
                                         among heterogeneous actors in complex environments: the primary task of social
                                         science. I shall argue that one factor hindering realisation of this potential is the
                                         neglect of systematic data use and appropriate data collection techniques. The
                                         discussion will centre on a concrete example: the properties of MAS to model
                                         innovation diffusion.


                              1.     Introduction

                                Social scientists are increasingly recognising the potential of MAS to cast
                              light on the central conceptual problems besetting their disciplines. Taking
                              examples from sociology, MAS is able to contribute to our understanding of
                              emergence [11], relations between micro and macro [4], the evolution of strati-
                              fication [5] and unintended consequences of social action [9]. However, I shall
                              argue that this potential is largely unrealised for a reason that has been sub-
                              stantially neglected: the relation between data collection and MAS design. I
                              shall begin by discussing the prevailing situation. Then I shall describe a case
                              study: the data requirements for MAS of innovation diffusion. I shall then
                              present several data collection techniques and their appropriate contribution to
                              the proposed MAS. I shall conclude by drawing some more general lessons
                              about the relationship between data collection and MAS design.

                              2.     Who Needs Data?
                                At the outset, I must make two exceptions to my critique. The first is to ac-
                              knowledge the widespread instrumental use of MAS. Many computer scientists
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