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214   Cha p te r  N i n e


                                              Solar  Coal
                                        Hydro            Gas/Oil
                                                              Hydrogen
                                  Wind
                                                                 Ground
                              Biomass
                                                                 Heat


                          Apply EMINENT tool to assess the
                            new technology potential

                                            Energy supply system
                                           Intermediate products
                       Biomass/waste
                                   Pre-
                         Coal      treat-                              Electricity
                                   ment-  Transpor-  Conver-
                          Oil      sys-  tation and  sion
                                   tems   storage  processes
                        Natural gas                        Distribu-    Heat
                                                           tion and
                                                    EST
                         Hydro                             storage
                                                                     Transportation
                         Wind                      to be                fuel
                                                  evaluated
                       Solar energy
                        Geothermal
                     FIGURE 9.11  Methodology employed in EMINENT toolbox (after Klemeš et al.,
                     2007b).



                        needed to establish full energy supply chains; and (3) resources
                        the EST would require to satisfy the full energy supply chain.
                        Output: (1) aggregate numbers; (2) application potential of ESTs per
                        (sub)sector; (3) annual cost of energy delivery per consumer and
                        per (sub)sector; and (4) annual CO  emissions.
                                                     2
                        Performance indicators:  (1)  efficiency of energy supply chain;

                        (2) usage of primary fossil energy; (3) CO  emissions per MW∙h;
                                                            2
                        and (4) costs of delivered energy [€/MW∙h].
                        Most of the ESTs analyzed were not yet able to achieve the cost
                     levels of existing technologies. Some of the ESTs—for instance,
                     molten carbonate fuel cells (MCFCs)—could become competitive
                     with relatively small efforts aimed at cost reduction. Various
                     promising future trends located with the help of EMINENT have
                     been supported by policy makers. Some near-term prospects are:
                     (1) diverse energy systems that encompass supplies, management,
                     and control of demand; (2) market-based grids with large power
                     stations, including wind farms of different types; (3) local distributed
                     generation, including biomass, waste, and wind; (4) micro generation,
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