Page 168 - Sustainable On-Site CHP Systems Design, Construction, and Operations
P. 168

CHAPTER 9






                                          CHP Economic Analysis





             Kyle Landis

             Itzhak Maor






        CHP Economic Analysis
             CHP economic analysis is the process by which the economic factors surrounding a pro-
             posed CHP plant are analyzed to determine if the project makes economic sense and that
             the project is a good investment for the stakeholders’ funds. The criteria for defining a
             project as economically viable will vary from project to project, but at a minimum the
             project typically needs to save money over the “business-as-usual” (BAU) case. More
             stringent criteria may require the project to perform at least as well as a competing invest-
             ment. Economic analyses methods vary from a simple payback analysis to the more com-
             plicated and detailed life-cycle-cost (LCC) analysis discussed in detail in this chapter.


        Simple Payback Analysis
             Simple payback analysis is an economic analysis method that looks at the time required
             to recoup the first costs based on the annual savings realized from the installation of the
             project. Simple payback analysis does not account for the time value of money, escalation,
             etc. as does LCC analysis. For CHP projects, which are not typically low-cost projects,
             use of simple payback analysis is typically limited to the initial feasibility stages of the
             project. As more detailed study of the project is performed, LCC is usually required.
             The formula for simple payback is a follows:
                         Simple payback (years) = project first cost/annual savings

             where project first cost = the total installed cost of the project as defined in the section
             “Estimating Budgetary Construction Costs” and annual savings = the sum of the sav-
             ings in energy, operations, and maintenance costs compared to the BAU case.


        Life-Cycle-Cost Analysis
             LCC analysis is a process by which the available economic factors spanning the life of a
             system are considered in terms of the time value of money and to the degree appropriate

                                                                                   141
   163   164   165   166   167   168   169   170   171   172   173