Page 51 - The CNN Effect in Action - How the News Media Pushed the West toward War ini Kosovo
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                                                                THE CNN EFFECT IN ACTION
                                                         In one story typical of coverage at the time, Rwanda was described as
                                                         “over-populated, over-farmed, underfed and wracked by tribal
                                                         hatreds, 400 years in the making. The history of Rwanda is full of
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                                                         massacres like this—killing followed by counter killings.”
                                                           Although Shaw’s case study on the Kurdish crisis following the
                                                         Gulf War is well documented, critics have suggested that it overplays
                                                         its hand and fails to take into account the role of other forces outside
                                                         the media that also pushed for intervention. For example, the geopo-
                                                         litical concerns of key NATO member Turkey, which was uneasy over
                                                         the implications of refugee flows into its territory from Iraq, was at
                                                         least as important a factor as the media. Furthermore, little attention
                                                         was given to the actual decision-making process, which other analyses
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                                                         of the same crisis demonstrated to have been far more complex.
                                                         Despite these shortcomings, this study and others like it highlight the
                                                         importance of two additional ingredients as prerequisite to a CNN
                                                         effect: media access and sympathetic media framing that presents a
                                                         particular party as victims.
                                                                            Quantitative Approaches
                                                         Livingston and Eachus use a more rigorous approach in qualifying the
                                                         CNN effect, comparing the quantity of media coverage on a particu-
                                                         lar issue with the timing of policy decision on that issue in order to
                                                         identify a potential media impact. This approach is used to assess the
                                                         1992 decision by the United States to intervene in Somalia. 32
                                                         Livingston later uses a similar approach in a case study on Kosovo. 33
                                                         Under this method, it is assumed that there is a CNN effect if the
                                                         majority of media coverage precedes policy change. If the majority of
                                                         coverage follows policy change, however, then there is no effect, as
                                                         media takes its cues from the government. In the Somalia case, the
                                                         vast majority of media coverage followed the government’s decision
                                                         to intervene. If there was a CNN effect, significant media coverage
                                                         should have emerged earlier. Furthermore, what media coverage did
                                                         exist, according to the authors, originated from government officials
                                                         who used the media to draw attention to the Somalia issue. 34  In the
                                                         Kosovo case, Livingston believed that two opposing CNN effects
                                                         largely negated each other, limiting the overall effect. While NATO
                                                         bombing mistakes reduced support for the campaign, images of
                                                         suffering Albanian refugees countered this and increased support. 35
                                                           While this approach is more rigorous than the interview- and
                                                         media-based methods, some of its assumptions are questionable. In
                                                         the Somalia case, for example, while it may be true that the desire for
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