Page 425 - Bruce Ellig - The Complete Guide to Executive Compensation (2007)
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Chapter 8. Long-Term Incentives                   411



                                       c   Se q(T) Nd   Xe r(T) Nd 2
                                                   1
                          c   Call option value
                          S   Stock price (current)
                          e   2.71828 (exponential constant)
                          q   Expected dividend yield
                          T   Time to expiration
                          N   From standard normal distribution probability that
                           dx
                               random draw is less than dx
                          X   Exercise or strike price of the option
                          r   Risk-free rate of return expectation
           Table 8-3. Black-Scholes formula for a call option

           for a new method to determine the value of derivatives, (Fisher Black had died and was
           therefore not eligible for the award), the formula is now known as the Black-Scholes-Merton
           formula or, alternatively, Black-Scholes.
               Other things being equal, the Black-Scholes model (and other pricing models) will place
           a greater value on a higher-priced stock option. For example, a stock option priced at $81 a
           share may be said to be worth $32.69. Because of a significant decline in the price of its stock
           the following year, the company issues an option at $63 a share, which is given a valuation of
           $22.32 a share. This is illustrated in Table 8-4. Is there anyone who does not believe the
           $63 option is more valuable to the optionee than the $81 option? Yes—FAS 123R.

                                              Last Year          This Year
                      Term                     10 years           10 years

                      Strike price              $81.00            $63.00

                      Market price              $81.00            $63.00
                      Volatility                 26%               31%
                      Risk-free rate            6,526%            5,487%

                      Dividend yield            1.83%              2.7%

                      Valuation (per option)    $32.69            $22.32
           Table 8-4. Stock option valuation
               Some have argued that option recipients place a much smaller value on the option than
           does the Black-Scholes formula. A few have gone further, indicating that if the Black-Scholes
           value is $33 on a $100 option, the more likely true value is a third ($11) or maybe half
           ($16.50) that amount. It could be argued, therefore, that options “cost” the company more
           than the value assigned them by the optionee. In any event, is the option really a cost to the
           company or a transfer of value from the shareholder? If it is a transfer, why should it be taken
           as a charge to earnings as required by FAS 123R?
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