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Why Leadership Matters, but It Is Not Sufficient                      87



           even when it is clearly doomed (Staw & Ross, 1987). Perhaps not surpris-
           ingly, companies tend to change course by changing leaders. Gist (1987)
           suggests that self-efficacy may produce overconfidence and result in feel-
           ings of invulnerability or excessive optimism, thus leading to the escala-
           tion of actions (Whyte, Saks, & Hook, 1997). March and Shapira (1987)
           suggest that the managers’ tendency to pay more attention to the risk of
           loss than to the risk of missing a possible gain (see also Thaler, Tversky,
           Kahneman, & Schwartz, 1997) may induce passivity—and creeping exter-
           nal events may then take their course in creating unforeseen binds.

           Table 6.1  Explaining Commitment Creep

                               Individual              Organizational
           Deliberate    • Self-efficacy          • Premium on leadership
                                                   consistency
                         • Managerial attention
                         • Risk aversity
           Emergent      • Decision-making heuristics  • Escalation of commitment
                         • Cognitive myopia      • Organizational learning
                                                 • Competency traps
                                                 • Structural inertia and
                                                   organizational routines
                                                 • Strategic momentum
                                                 • Founding conditions and
                                                   imprinting forces


              Simon (1947), March and Simon (1958), and more recently Ocasio
           (1997) have emphasized the limits to human cognition. Time-
           constrained managers do have to constantly make choices about what to
           pay attention to, as time does not afford consideration of all matters
           (Ocasio, 1997). Thus the perpetuation of a particular course of action
           may be a simple result of the selective intake of information, chosen on
           the basis of the current strategy. During the course of a busy day, paying
           attention to emerging or intervening issues not previously on the agenda
           may be difficult (or perceived a luxury the manager can ill afford).

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