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CHAPTER7






                                           Wind Resource


                                                Assessment






                      A few observations and much reasoning lead to error; many
                           observations and a little reasoning to truth.
                                                   —Alexis Carrel







        Introduction
              Wind resource assessment (WRA) is the discipline of estimating the
              strength of wind resources at a planned wind project site. The output
              of wind resource assessment, at a generic level, is wind conditions and
              annual energy production at a project site. A financial model uses this
              datatocomputethefinancialperformanceofthewindproject.WRAis,
              therefore, the core activity that determines viability of a wind project.
                 The chapter starts with an overview of the WRA process. This
              chapterwillbedividedintotwoparts.Thefirstwilldealwithprospect-
              ing with no onsite measurement data. Before delving into resource
              estimation, exposition of sources of wind data is provided, followed
              by the most commonly used models. The second part of the chapter
              will deal with computations related to spatial extrapolation, long-term
              hindcast, and annual energy production.
                 Chapter 8 will cover advanced topics in WRA, loss estimation,
              and uncertainty associated with resource assessment.


        Overview of Wind Resource Assessment
              Figure 7-1 contains an overview of the WRA process. WRA starts
              with a preliminary assessment or prospecting. In this step, alter-
              nate sites are evaluated for adequate wind speed based on publicly
              available wind resource maps and wind data. The prospecting step

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