Page 169 - Fluid Power Engineering
P. 169

142   Chapter Seven


                                 Wind speed-up in sector 0°
                     15
                     10
                   Speed-up [m/s]  -5
                      5
                      0



                    -10
                    -15
                       0   2  4   6  8  10  12  14  16 18  20  22
                                Wind Speed at reference site [m/s]
                         Measurements          Model: Mean
                         Model: Mean + 1 × StdDev  Model: Mean − 1 × StdDev
                                        (a)

                                 Wind speed-up in sector 30°
                     15
                     10
                   Speed-up [m/s]  -5
                      5
                      0



                    -10
                    -15
                       0   2  4   6  8  10  12  14  16 18  20  22
                                Wind Speed at reference site [m/s]
                         Measurements          Model: Mean
                         Model: Mean + 1 × StdDev  Model: Mean − 1 × StdDev
                                        (b)

              FIGURE 7-12a and b Matrix method computes mean and standard deviation of
              wind speed-up in two sectors.


              assume that the two distributions are dependent, and to use a joint
                                              9
              distribution. For details, see WindPRO .

              Choosing a Method for Prediction
              Several methods for prediction are described above. In order to find
              the best predictor method, the following is estimated by examining
              the distribution of the residual term for the concurrent measured and
   164   165   166   167   168   169   170   171   172   173   174