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5  Parameter Estimation                                       207



                    Section  3.3.  First,  we  get  the  closed-form  solution  for  the  integration  with
                    respect  to X, and  then  take  the  one-dimensional integration  with  respect  to o
                    numerically.
                         For the  simplest case of  Data  1-1, we  can  obtain the  explicit expression
                    for the  integration  of  (5.76).  In  Data 1-1, p , (X) and p2(X) are normal  NX(O,I)
                    and NX(M,I) respectively.  Then, e’oh(xip,(X) may be rewritten  as


                                                                                (5.78)




                                                                                (5.79)


                    where N,(a,h)  and NX(D,K) are normal  density  functions of w and X  with  the
                    expected value a and variance  h for N,,  and the expected vector D and covari-
                    ance matrix K for NX.
                         Since f,(X, o) is a linear combination of x;x, (k,L 5 4) as seen  in  (5.77),
                                   is
                    Ifq(X,o)NX(.;)dX the  linear  combination  of  the  moments  of  Nx(.,.). The
                    result of the integration becomes a polynomial  in o


















                    where  -  and  +  of  T  are  for  i = 1  and  2  respectively.   Again,  the
                    JY,(o)N,(.,.)do is  a  linear  combination of  the  moments  of  N,(.,.).  Thus, vy
                    for PI = P2 = 0.5  is
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