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11 - PROJECT RISK MANAGEMENT






                                        table 11-1. definition of Impact Scales for Four Project objectives


                                     Defined Conditions for Impact Scales of a Risk on Major Project Objectives
                                                      (Examples are shown for negative impacts only)
                                                         Relative or numerical scales are shown

                              Project    Very low /0.05   Low /0.10    Moderate /0.20  High /0.40  Very high /0.80
                              Objective
                                        Insignificant cost  < 10% cost   10 – 20% cost  20 – 40% cost  > 40% cost
                              Cost
                                           increase        increase       increase      increase      increase
                                        Insignificant time  < 5% time   5 – 10% time  10 – 20% time  > 20% time
                              Time         increase        increase       increase      increase      increase

                                                                                     Scope reduction  Project end item
                                        Scope decrease   Minor areas of  Major areas of
                              Scope     barely noticeable  scope affected  scope affected  unacceptable to  is effectively
                                                                                        sponsor       useless
                                                       Only very demanding  Quality reduction  Quality reduction  Project end item
                                       Quality degradation
                              Quality                    applications   requires sponsor  unacceptable to  is effectively
                                        barely noticeable
                                                         are affected     approval      sponsor       useless
                              This table presents examples of risk impact definitions for four different project objectives. They should be tailored in the
                              Risk Management Planning process to the individual project and to the organization's risk thresholds. Impact definitions can be
                              developed for opportunities in a similar way.
                            •    Probability and impact matrix. A probability and impact matrix is a grid for mapping the probability
                               of each risk occurrence and its impact on project objectives if that risk occurs. Risks are prioritized
                               according to their potential implications for having an effect on the project’s objectives. A typical
                               approach to prioritizing risks is to use a look-up table or a probability and impact matrix. The specific
                               combinations of probability and impact that lead to a risk being rated as “high,” “moderate,” or “low”
                               importance are usually set by the organization.
                            •   revised stakeholders’ tolerances. Stakeholders’ tolerances, as they apply to the specific project, may
                              be revised in the Plan Risk Management process.
                            •   reporting formats. Reporting formats define how the outcomes of the risk management process will
                              be documented, analyzed, and communicated. It describes the content and format of the risk register as
                              well as any other risk reports required.

                            •   tracking. Tracking documents how risk activities will be recorded for the benefit of the current project
                              and how risk management processes will be audited.




















             318      ©2013 Project Management Institute. A Guide to the Project Management Body of Knowledge (PMBOK  Guide) – Fifth Edition
                                                                                          ®


                                           Licensed To: Jorge Diego Fuentes Sanchez PMI MemberID: 2399412
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