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80     CHAPTER 3 Forecasting of Intermittent Solar Energy Resource


























                         FIGURE 3.1
                         Electrical dispatching center (Sofia, Bulgaria) (personal picture).

                            Without the anticipation of the consumption followed by the start-up of a new
                         energy means, the imbalance remains leading to a load shedding on the one hand.
                         If this load shedding is too slow or insufficient, a risk of blackout arises. On the other
                         hand, if the load is lower than the production (because of an overproduction of a PV
                         plant for instance), the frequency increases and it might present a danger for the


                         Table 3.2 Characteristics of Electricity Production Plants [5]

                                                        Minimum
                                                        Power      Rise Speed
                                                        Capacity   in Power    Start-Up
                          Type             Size (MW)    (%)        Per Min (%)  Time (h)
                          Nuclear power    400e1300     20         1           40 (cold)-18 h
                          plant            per reactor                         (hot)
                          Steam thermal    200e800 per  50         0.5e5       11e20 h (cold)-
                          plant            turbine                             5 h (hot)
                          Fossil-fired power  1e200      50e80      10          10 mine1h
                          plants
                          Combined-cycle   100e400      50         7           1e4h
                          plant
                          Hydropower plant  50e1300     30         80e100      5 min
                          Combustion turbine  25        30         30          15e20 min
                          (light fuel)
                          Internal combustion  20       65         20          45e60 min
                          engine
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