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FINANCIAL APPLICATIONS  173



                                        Table 4.15 Optimal Portfolio Selection for Welte Mutual
                                        Investment                  Amount              Expected Annual return
                                        Atlantic Oil                 E20 000                   E1 460
                                        Pacific Oil                   30 000                     3 090
                                        Huber Steel                   40 000                     3 000
                                        Government bonds              10 000                      450
                                          Totals                    E100 000                   E8 000
                                        Expected annual return of E8 000
                                        Overall rate of return ¼ 8%





                                      Welte invests one more euro in government bonds (beyond the minimum require-
                                      ment), the total return will decrease by E0.024. To see why this decrease occurs,
                                      note again from the dual price for constraint 1 that the marginal return on the funds
                                      invested in the portfolio is 6.9 per cent (the average return is 8 per cent). The rate of
                                      return on government bonds is 4.5 per cent. Thus, the cost of investing one more euro
                                      in government bonds is the difference between the marginal return on the portfolio and
                                      the marginal return on government bonds: 6.9 per cent   4.5 per cent ¼ 2.4 per cent.
                                         Note that the optimal solution shows that Midwest Steel should not be included
                                      in the portfolio (M ¼ 0). The associated reduced cost for M of 0.011 tells us that the
                                      objective function coefficient for Midwest Steel would have to increase by 0.011
                      Practise formulating a  before considering the Midwest Steel investment alternative would be advisable.
                      variation of the Welte  With such an increase the Midwest Steel return would be 0.064 + 0.011 ¼ 0.075,
                      problem by working
                      Problem 7.      making this investment just as desirable as the currently used Huber Steel invest-
                                      ment alternative.
                                         Finally, a simple modification of the Welte linear programming model permits
                                      determining the fraction of available funds invested in each security. That is, we
                                      divide each of the right-hand side values by 100 000. Then the optimal values for the
                                      variables will give the fraction of funds that should be invested in each security for a
                                      portfolio of any size.




                        NOTES AND COMMENTS


                        1 The optimal solution to the Welte Mutual Funds  involved. In cases where the analyst believes that
                          problem indicates that E20 000 is to be spent on  the decision variables must have integer values,
                          the Atlantic Oil stock. If Atlantic Oil sells for E75 per  the problem must be formulated as an integer
                                                             2
                          share, we would have to purchase exactly 266 / 3  linear programming model. Integer linear
                          shares in order to spend exactly E20000. The  programming is the topic of online Chapter 15.
                          difficulty of purchasing fractional shares is usually  2 Financial portfolio theory stresses obtaining a
                          handled by purchasing the largest possible integer  proper balance between risk and return. In the Welte
                          number of shares with the allotted funds (e.g., 266  problem, we explicitly considered return in the
                          shares of Atlantic Oil). This approach guarantees  objective function. Risk is controlled by choosing
                          that the budget constraint will not be violated. This  constraints that ensure diversity among oil and steel
                          approach, of course, introduces the possibility that  stocks and a balance between government bonds
                          the solution will no longer be optimal, but the  and the steel industry investment.
                          danger is slight if a large number of securities are






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