Page 173 - Applied Statistics And Probability For Engineers
P. 173

c05.qxd  5/13/02  1:49 PM  Page 149 RK UL 6 RK UL 6:Desktop Folder:TEMP WORK:MONTGOMERY:REVISES UPLO D CH114 FIN L:Quark Files:






                                                                      5-1 TWO DISCRETE RANDOM VARIABLES   149



                                       For discrete random variables X and Y, if any one of the following properties is true,
                                       the others are also true, and X and Y are independent.
                                          (1)  f XY  1x, y2   f 1x2 f  1 y2  for all x and y
                                                             Y
                                                         X
                                          (2)  f   1 y2   f  1y2  for all x and y with f    X  1x2 
 0
                                                        Y
                                                Y ƒ x
                                          (3)  f    1x2   f 1x2  for all x and y with f  1 y2 
 0

                                                                             Y
                                                X ƒy    X
                                          (4)  P1X   A, Y   B2   P1X   A2 P1Y   B2  for any sets A and B in the range
                                               of X and Y, respectively.                              (5-7)

                                   Rectangular Range for (X, Y)!
                                   If the set of points in two-dimensional space that receive positive probability under
                                   f (x, y) does not form a rectangle, X and Y are not independent because knowledge of X
                                    XY
                                   can restrict the range of values of  Y that receive positive probability. In Example 5-1
                                   knowledge that X   3 implies that Y can equal only 0 or 1. Consequently, the marginal
                                                                                                           1y2
                                   probability distribution of Y does not equal the conditional probability distribution  f Y 03
                                   for X   3. Using this idea, we know immediately that the random variables X and Y with
                                   joint probability mass function in Fig. 5-1 are not independent. If the set of points in two-
                                   dimensional space that receives positive probability under  f (x, y) forms a rectangle,
                                                                                       XY
                                   independence is possible but not demonstrated. One of the conditions in Equation 5-7 must
                                   still be verified.
                                       Rather than verifying independence from a joint probability distribution, knowledge of
                                   the random experiment is often used to assume that two random variables are independent.
                                   Then, the joint probability mass function of X and Y is computed from the product of the
                                   marginal probability mass functions.


                 EXAMPLE 5-9       In a large shipment of parts, 1% of the parts do not conform to specifications. The supplier
                                   inspects a random sample of 30 parts, and the random variable X denotes the number of parts
                                   in the sample that do not conform to specifications. The purchaser inspects another random
                                   sample of 20 parts, and the random variable Y denotes the number of parts in this sample that
                                   do not conform to specifications. What is the probability that X   1  and Y   1 ?
                                       Although the samples are typically selected without replacement, if the shipment is large,
                                   relative to the sample sizes being used, approximate probabilities can be computed by assum-
                                   ing the sampling is with replacement and that X and Y are independent. With this assumption,
                                   the marginal probability distribution of X is binomial with n   30 and p   0.01, and the mar-
                                   ginal probability distribution of Y is binomial with n   20 and p   0.01.
                                       If independence between X and Y were not assumed, the solution would have to proceed
                                   as follows:

                                                 P1X   1, Y   12   P1X   0, Y   02   P1X   1, Y   02
                                                                   P1X   0, Y   12   P1X   1, Y   12
                                                                  f 10, 02   f XY  11, 02   f XY  10, 12   f XY  11, 12
                                                                  XY
                                   However, with independence, property (4) of Equation 5-7 can be used as

                                                        P1X   1, Y   12   P1X   12 P1Y   12
   168   169   170   171   172   173   174   175   176   177   178