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PQ220 6234F.Ch 03  13/04/2002  03:19 PM  Page 60






               60     CHAPTER 3 DISCRETE RANDOM VARIABLES AND PROBABILITY DISTRIBUTIONS


               3-1  DISCRETE RANDOM VARIABLES

                                 Many physical systems can be modeled by the same or similar random experiments and ran-
                                 dom variables. The distribution of the random variables involved in each of these common
                                 systems can be analyzed, and the results of that analysis can be used in different applications
                                 and examples. In this chapter, we present the analysis of several random experiments and
                                 discrete random variables that frequently arise in applications. We often omit a discussion of
                                 the underlying sample space of the random experiment and directly describe the distribution
                                 of a particular random variable.


               EXAMPLE 3-1       A voice communication system for a business contains 48 external lines. At a particular time,
                                 the system is observed, and some of the lines are being used. Let the random variable X denote
                                 the number of lines in use. Then, X can assume any of the integer values 0 through 48. When
                                 the system is observed, if 10 lines are in use, x = 10.


               EXAMPLE 3-2       In a semiconductor manufacturing process, two wafers from a lot are tested. Each wafer is
                                 classified as pass or fail. Assume that the probability that a wafer passes the test is 0.8 and that
                                 wafers are independent. The sample space for the experiment and associated probabilities are
                                 shown in Table 3-1. For example, because of the independence, the probability of the outcome
                                 that the first wafer tested passes and the second wafer tested fails, denoted as pf, is


                                                            P1pf 2   0.810.22   0.16

                                 The random variable  X is defined to be equal to the number of wafers that pass. The
                                 last column of the table shows the values of X that are assigned to each outcome in the
                                 experiment.


               EXAMPLE 3-3       Define the random variable X to be the number of contamination particles on a wafer in semi-
                                 conductor manufacturing. Although wafers possess a number of characteristics, the random
                                 variable X summarizes the wafer only in terms of the number of particles.
                                    The possible values of X are integers from zero up to some large value that represents the
                                 maximum number of particles that can be found on one of the wafers. If this maximum num-
                                 ber is very large, we might simply assume that the range of X is the set of integers from zero
                                 to infinity.


                                    Note that more than one random variable can be defined on a sample space. In Example
                                 3-3, we might define the random variable Y to be the number of chips from a wafer that fail
                                 the final test.



                                            Table 3-1 Wafer Tests

                                                    Outcome
                                             Wafer 1        Wafer 2         Probability       x
                                             Pass            Pass             0.64            2
                                             Fail            Pass             0.16            1
                                             Pass             Fail            0.16            1
                                             Fail             Fail            0.04            0
   77   78   79   80   81   82   83   84   85   86   87