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42    Biofuels for a More Sustainable Future


          standards, action should be undertaken to reduce unsustainable transport
          behaviors, especially car driving and air travels, and to support a shift to
          modal transportation for passengers. The number of cars is expected to
          increase to 2.9 billion by 2050, most of which in emerging economies, espe-
          cially China and India (Doucette and McCulloch, 2011, p. 803). The future
          of aviation is also posing some serious threats. According to ICAO projec-
          tions (2016), despite technological and operational improvements, the CO2
          emissions from aviation through 2050 will increase. Therefore “additional
          measures will be needed to achieve carbon neutral growth relative to
          2020” (ICAO, 2016, p. 22).
             As it seems, the positive environmental effects of biofuels, and bioecon-
          omy in general, might be offset by mounting social issues and intensified
          unsustainable consumption patterns. To avoid this, a twofold approach to
          the bioeconomy is needed. On the one hand, technological developments,
          including second and third generation biofuels, are extremely relevant to
          complete the transition. On the other hand, sustainable transport behaviors
          (e.g., public transport, less air travels) and conscious consumption patterns,
          in general, can generate positive environmental effects causing less pressure
          on food production, and land with special environmental value or high car-
          bon stock. Therefore the few examples of effective policy intervention or
          voluntary engagement already implemented, for example, the EU ban on
                         17
          single-use plastics  or the reduction of packaging materials, should be dif-
          fused as good practices for all the sectors of bioeconomy.



          6 Conclusions

          This chapter has addressed the biofuel transition, analyzing first the main
          economic, social, and environmental issues associated with biofuel produc-
          tion and consumption, and subsequently assessing the relevance and effec-
          tiveness of standards and regulations in addressing those issues. Building on
          this, in Section 5 we extend our discourse to the broader context of bioec-
          onomy transition, drawing lessons and insights from the biofuel experience.
             Key problems associated with the biofuel transitions include indirect land
          use change (iLUC), food crop prices and associated food security issues, as


          17
            Initially accepted by the European Parliament but not yet adopted as law—European Par-
            liament Legislative Observatory, https://oeil.secure.europarl.europa.eu/oeil/popups/
            ficheprocedure.do?lang¼en&reference¼2018/0172(OLP) (accessed 29 October 2018r.).
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