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                                        COSTING AND PROJECT EVALUATION
                     Most proprietary spreadsheets have procedures for calculating the cumulative NPW
                   from a listing of the yearly net annual revenue (profit). Spreadsheets are useful tools for
                   economic analysis and project evaluation.
                   6.10.4. Rate of return calculations
                   Cash-flow figures do not show how well the capital invested is being used; two projects
                   with widely different capital costs may give similar cumulative cash-flow figures. Some
                   way of measuring the performance of the capital invested is needed. Rate of return (ROR),
                   which is the ratio of annual profit to investment, is a simple index of the performance
                   of the money invested. Though basically a simple concept, the calculation of the ROR is
                   complicated by the fact that the annual profit (net cash flow) will not be constant over
                   the life of the project. The simplest method is to base the ROR on the average income
                   over the life of the project and the original investment.

                                Cumulative net cash flow at end of project
                         ROR D                                       ð 100 per cent      6.11
                                   Life of project ð original investment
                   From Figure 6.8.

                                     Cumulative income D F   C
                                            Investment D C
                                         Life of project D G
                                                         F   C
                                            then, ROR D        ð 100 per cent
                                                         C ð G
                   The rate of return is often calculated for the anticipated best year of the project: the
                   year in which the net cash flow is greatest. It can also be based on the book value
                   of the investment, the investment after allowing for depreciation. Simple rate of return
                   calculations take no account of the time value of money.

                   6.10.5. Discounted cash-flow rate of return (DCFRR)
                   Discounted cash-flow analysis, used to calculate the present worth of future earnings
                   (Section 6.10.3), is sensitive to the interest rate assumed. By calculating the NPW for
                   various interest rates, it is possible to find an interest rate at which the cumulative net
                   present worth at the end of the project is zero. This particular rate is called the “discounted
                   cash-flow rate of return” (DCFRR) and is a measure of the maximum rate that the project
                   could pay and still break even by the end of the project life.

                                                 nDt
                                                      NFW

                                                             D 0                         6.12
                                                          0 n
                                                     1 C r
                                                 nD1
                          0
                   where r D the discounted cash-flow rate of return (per cent/100),
                      NFW D the future worth of the net cash flow in year n,
                          t D the life of the project, years.
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