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82                                             STATE ESTIMATION

            measurement model (in fact, each possible word has its own state space
            model).
              The outline of the chapter is as follows. Section 4.1 gives a framework
            for estimation in dynamic systems. It introduces the various concepts,
            notations and mathematical models. Next, it presents a general scheme
            to obtain the optimal solution. In practice, however, such a general
            scheme is of less value because of the computational complexity involved
            when trying to implement the solution directly. Therefore, the general
            approach needs to be worked out for different cases. Section 4.2 is
            devoted to the case of continuous state variables. Practical solutions
            are feasible if the models are linear-Gaussian (Section 4.2.1). If the
            model is not linear, one can resort to suboptimal methods (Section 4.2.2).
            Section 4.3 deals with the discrete state case. The chapter finalizes
            with Section 4.4 which contains an introduction to particle filtering.
            This technique can handle nonlinear and non-Gaussian models
            covering the continuous and the discrete case, and even mixed cases
            (i.e. combinations of continuous and discrete states).
              The chapter confines itself to the theoretical aspects of state estima-
            tion. Practical issues, like implementations, deployment, consistency
            checks are dealt with in Chapter 8. The use of MATLAB is also deferred
            to that chapter.


            4.1   A GENERAL FRAMEWORK FOR ONLINE
                  ESTIMATION

            Usually, the estimation problem is divided into three paradigms:


              . online estimation (optimal filtering)
              . prediction
              . retrodiction (smoothing, offline estimation).

            Online estimation is the estimation of the present state using all the
            measurements that are available, i.e. all measurements up to the present
            time. Prediction is the estimation of future states. Retrodiction is the
            estimation of past states.
              This section sets up a framework for the online estimation of the states
            of time-discrete processes. Of course, most physical processes evolve in
            the continuous time. Nevertheless, we will assume that these systems
            can be described adequately by a model where the continuous time is
            reduced to a sequence of specific times. Methods for the conversion from
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