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Chapter 3: Sampling Concepts                                     63


                              To illustrate this concept, let’s use the sample mean as an example. We
                             know that the variance of the estimator is


                                                                1  2
                                                        VX() =  ---σ   ,
                                                                n
                             for large n. So, the standard error is given by

                                                                    σ
                                                     SE X() =  σ  =  -------   .           (3.20)
                                                               X
                                                                     n
                                                   σ
                             If the standard deviation   for the underlying population is unknown, then
                             we can substitute an estimate for the parameter. In this case, we call it the esti-
                             mated standard error:


                                                      ˆ       ˆ     S
                                                     SE X() =  σ X  =  -------   .         (3.21)
                                                                     n

                             Note that the estimate in Equation 3.21 is also a random variable and has a
                             probability distribution associated with it.
                              If the bias in an estimator is small, then the variance of the estimator is
                             approximately equal to the MSE,  VT() ≈ MSE T() . Thus, we can also use the
                             square root of the MSE as an estimate of the standard error.



                                 mum
                                  Likelihood
                                                         n
                                  Likelihood
                                 mum
                             MaMa  xi xxii imumLikelihoodEstimatioEstimation  nn
                             Max
                             Ma
                                 mumLikelihoodEstimatioEstimatio
                             A maximum likelihood estimator is that value of the parameter (or parame-
                             ters) that maximizes the likelihood function of the sample. The likelihood
                             function of a random sample of size n from density (mass) function f x θ;(  )   is
                             the joint probability density (mass) function, denoted by
                                                      ,
                                                                (
                                                                   ,
                                                                      ,
                                                  (
                                                         ,
                                                    ;
                                                 L θ x 1 … x n ) =  fx 1 … x n θ)  .       (3.22)
                                                                         ;
                             Equation 3.22 provides the likelihood that the random variables take on a
                                             ,  ,
                             particular value x 1 … x n  . Note that the likelihood function L is a function of
                                                                        θ
                             the unknown parameter θ, and that we allow   to represent a vector of
                             parameters.
                              If we have a random sample (independent, identically distributed random
                             variables), then we can write the likelihood function as
                                                  (
                                                                             (
                                                      ,
                                                                 (
                                                         ,
                                                                               ;
                                          L θ() =  L θ x 1 … x n ) =  fx 1 θ) ×  … ×  fx n θ)  ,  (3.23)
                                                    ;
                                                                   ;
                            © 2002 by Chapman & Hall/CRC
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