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382   Chapter Ten







                                         Step 1:  Create activity hierarchy and network




                                         Step 2:  Identify and order all necessary cost
                                         drivers and consumption intensities.




              Step 6: Iterate if necessary  Step 3:  Identify the relationships between cost
                                        drivers and design changes




                                         Step 4:  Find and minimize the consumption
                                         of activities



                                              Step 5:  Evaluate the solution








           Figure 10.9 The ABC process (Huang 1996).



           (Zadeh 1965), a creative design situation. In spreadsheet simulation
           models, the terms assumption cell and forecast cell are commonly used.
           The first is a source variable, while the latter is a response variable.

           10.7.1 A product cost model
           Consider the following simple example where a product cost is mod-
           eled as a sum function of direct labor and material costs (Huang 1996).
           According to our assumptions with respect to these two cost components,
           we would like to forecast the total cost (Fig. 10.10). Assumption cells are
           assigned uncertainty or probability distributions. A direct labor cell is
           distributed as a triangular distribution, while the material assumption
           cell is distributed elliptically. These uncertainty distributions are defined
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