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CHAPTER 6 • From Greenhouse to Icehouse: The Last 50 Million Years  105


                                                                        Relative production
          IN SUMMARY, it seems unlikely that such                        and consumption
          discontinuous gateway episodes could have driven a           of ocean crust vs. today
          progressive climatic cooling for 50 Myr.                       0.8 1.0 1.2  1.4 1.6
                                                                    0

           Whether or not gateway changes affect climate on a
        global scale, they certainly have the potential to alter the  10      Spreading
        flow of deep and bottom water. Major gateway changes
        redistribute heat and salt at the high-latitude sites where  20
        deep waters form, and changes in these surface-water
        properties may affect formation of deep water. For                             Spreading and
        example, the model experiments indicated that closing     Myr ago  30            mid-plate
        the Isthmus of Panama increased the formation of deep                            volcanism
        water in the high latitudes of the North Atlantic. For-    40
        mation of deep water increased in this simulation
        because of the increased salinity of northward-flowing
        Gulf Stream waters (see Figure 6-11). Higher-salinity      50
        surface waters promote stronger deep-water formation
        because the water is already dense when it encounters
        cold winter air masses at high latitudes. The results from  60
        this experiment agree with independent evidence that
        formation of deep water in the North Atlantic increased  FIGURE 6-12 Changes in spreading rates The average rate
        between 10 and 4 Myr ago, the interval over which   of seafloor spreading slowed until 15 Myr ago, but it has since
        the Central American seaway was gradually reduced   increased slightly. Adding the effects of generation of new
        and finally closed off by the emergence of the Central  crust by volcanism at hot spots away from plate margins does
        American isthmus.                                   not change this basic trend. (Adapted from L. R. Kump and M.
                                                            A. Arthur, “Global Chemical Erosion During the Cenozoic,” in
                                                            Tectonic Uplift and Climate Change, ed. W. F. Ruddiman [New York:
        Hypotheses Linked to Changes in CO                  Plenum Press, 1997].)
                                                 2
        The evidence presented here requires a mechanism that
        has cooled climate at both poles over 50 Myr. Many cli-  faster than they are today, although some scientists
        mate scientists regard falling CO levels as the most
                                      2                     question whether or not this is so. Slower spreading
        obvious way to do this, whether by slower CO input
                                                 2          today is consistent with the colder modern climate. But
        (BLAG) or by faster removal (uplift weathering). A  when we look more closely at the last 50 Myr, this expla-
        wide range of proxy indicators have been used to try to  nation is not completely satisfactory. Before 15 Myr ago,
        estimate changes in atmospheric CO concentrations
                                         2                  global mean spreading (and subduction) rates show a
        during the last 50 Myr. All the methods show a general  decrease consistent with the spreading rate hypothesis
        trend of decreasing CO levels, but they show large dis-
                            2                               (Figure 6-12). But since 15 Myr ago, the mean rates of
        agreements about the size and timing of the major CO
                                                      2     spreading and subduction have slightly increased to a
        drops. The operating assumption used in this section  present value that is equal to the one that existed almost
        is simply that CO concentrations fell during the last
                        2                                   30 Myr ago.
        50 Myr.                                                The trend since 15 Myr ago does not support the
                                                            spreading rate hypothesis. An increase in rates of
                                                            spreading during that time should have put more CO
        6-6 Evaluation of the BLAG Spreading Rate                                                         2
        Hypothesis                                          into the atmosphere and warmed the global climate.
                                                            Instead, the climate continued to cool, with a substan-
        To explain the global cooling of the last 50 Myr, the  tial increase in size of the Antarctic ice sheet and the
        spreading rate hypothesis must pass one critical test. A  first appearance of northern hemisphere ice (mountain
        slowing of global mean spreading and subduction rates  glaciers and ice sheets).
        must have occurred through the interval, leading to    Could additional volcanic input of CO at sites away
                                                                                               2
        slower rates of CO input to the atmosphere.         from ocean ridges and subduction zones explain this
                        2
           It might seem initially that the spreading rate  discrepancy? During some intervals in the past, extra
        hypothesis has already passed this test. We saw in Chap-  CO was released at oceanic and continental hot spots
                                                               2
        ter 5 that spreading rates 100 Myr ago were probably  located well away from plate margins. Some of these
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