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518                SLENDER STRUCTURES AND AXIAL FLOW

                   This  algorithm  is  repeated for  each  embedding  dimension, giving  an  entire  family  of
                   Inc(r) versus In r curves. The scaling regions in the lnC(r) versus lnr curves are identified,
                   and a least-squares fit is used to obtain an estimate of d,(m) for each m. Error estimates
                   for d, are obtained using standard methods (Bevington 1969). We  utilize the expression
                   for the variance of  the mean,






                   then, from the least-squares fit for the slope,


                                                                                          (7.7)


                   where Nscde is the number of points in the scaling region, ui  = lnri and wi = lnci. Then,
                   the measurement error in d, is given by





                   For all the results presented here, 68% confidence limits are used for all error estimates.
                     For  the  work  of  Section 5.8.1,  the  data  from  the  noncontacting optical  probe  were
                   recorded, and 32 000-point records sampled at 50 Hz were used in  the analysis in each
                    case.  In  all  cases,  the  data  were  low-pass  filtered by  a  Buttenvorth  filter with  a  knee
                    frequency of 25 Hz. The results for another run with the same system as in Figures 5.31
                    and 5.32 (pipe #I9 of  Table 5.3, water flow) are shown in Figures 1.1-1.3.  In each case,
                    (a) and (b) are the power spectrum and autocorrelation, respectively; (c) shows a pseudo-
                    phase portrait of the reconstructed orbit and a Poincark map; (d) is a plot of the correlation
                    integral  C(r) versus  the  length  scale  r, for  various  embedding  dimensions  m. It  is
                    clear  that  in  Figure 1.1 the  system executes  periodic  (period-1) motion.  In  Figure 1.2,
                    the oscillation is of  period-2 but, as shown from components (b) and  (c) of  the figure,
                    there  is  already  a  small  but  nonnegligible  chaotic  component  to  the  motion;  we  call
                    this  ‘fuzzy period-2’ oscillation. The oscillation in Figure 1.3 is clearly chaotic. It is of
                    interest to note that the  ‘knee’ at Inr 2: -3.8  in Figure I.l(d), and at less well-defined
                    points in the other figures, corresponds to the point below which random noise is impor-
                    tant. For lnr > -3.8,  however, the  curves  for  the  higher m  converge and  their  slopes
                    may  be  used to provide  an estimate of d, via  equation (1.2). The results are shown in
                    Figure 5.37.
                      The techniques for analysing observed chaotic data have developed rapidly in the last
                    few years  - since the work just described was done. The interested reader is referred
                    to, for instance, Parker & Chua (1989), Ott (1993) and Abarbanel (1994, 1996). A useful
                    classification has been provided by  Cusumano (1997), summarized in  this appendix as
                    follows.
                      Improvements in the dimension estimation, or more specifically the delay-reconstruction
                    part of it, relate to more reliable methods for selecting the embedding dimension, d,  (m
                    in  the  foregoing),  and  the  delay,  t. ‘Singular systems  analysis’,  which  is  essentially
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