Page 209 - Fundamentals of Probability and Statistics for Engineers
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192                    Fundamentals of Probability and Statistics for Engineers

               f (x)                         F (x)
                X
                                              X

                                             1
              1
            b – a

                                       x                                  x
                     a        b                    a        b
              (a)                          (b)


              Figure 7.1 (a) The probability density function, f (x), and (b) the probability


                                                     X
                               distribution function, F X  (x), of X
           which is graphically presented in Figure 7.1(b).
             The mean, m X , and variance,   2  , of X are easily found to be
                                       X
                                b                  b
                              Z               1  Z        a ‡ b
                         m X ˆ   xf …x†dx ˆ         xdx ˆ      ;
                                   X
                               a            b   a  a        2
                                                                         …7:3†
                                     b
                                1  Z       a ‡ b   2  …b   a† 2
                          2
                           ˆ           x         dx ˆ        :
                          X
                              b   a  a       2           12
             The uniform distribution is one of the simplest distributions and is com-
           monly used in situations where there is no reason to give unequal likelihoods to
           possible ranges assumed by the random variable over a given interval. For
           example, the arrival time of a flight might be considered uniformly distributed
           over a certain time interval, or the distribution of the distance from the location
           of live loads on a bridge to an end support might be adequately represented by
           a uniform distribution over the bridge span. Let us also comment that one often
           assigns a uniform distribution to a specific random variable simply because of
           a lack of information, beyond knowing the range of values it spans.
             Example 7.1. Problem: owing to unpredictable traffic situations, the time
           required by a certain student to travel from her home to her morning class
           is uniformly distributed between 22 and 30 minutes. If she leaves home at pre-
           cisely 7.35 a.m., what is the probability that she will not be late for class, which
           begins promptly at 8:00 a.m.?
             Answer: let X  be the class arrival time of the student in minutes after 8:00 a.m.
           It then has a uniform distribution given by
                                        1
                                     8
                                         ;  for  3   x   5;
                                     <
                              f …x†ˆ    8
                               X
                                        0;  elsewhere.
                                     :





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