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Some Important Continuous Distributions                         209

           7.3  LOGNORMAL DISTRIBUTION

           We have seen that normal distributions arise from sums of many random
           actions. Consider now another common phenomenon which is the resultant
           of many multiplicative random effects. An example of multiplicative phenom-
           ena is in fatigue studies of materials where internal material damage at a given
           stage of loading is a random proportion of damage at the previous stage. In
           biology, the distribution of the size of an organism is another example for
           which growth is subject to many small impulses, each of which is proportional
           to the momentary size. Other examples include the size distribution of particles
           under impact or impulsive forces, the life distribution of mechanical compon-
           ents, the distribution of personal incomes due to annual adjustments, and other
           similar phenomena.
             Let us consider

                                     Y ˆ X 1 X 2 ... X n :              …7:41†

           We are interested in the distribution of Y  as n becomes large, when random
           variables X j , j ˆ  1, 2, .. ., n, can take only positive values.
             If we take logarithms of both sides, Equation (7.41) becomes
                              ln Y ˆ ln X 1 ‡ ln X 2 ‡     ‡ ln X n :   …7:42†


           The random variable ln Y  is seen as a sum of random variables ln X 1 , ln X 2 ,. . . ,
           and  ln X n . It  thus follows from  the central limit  theorem  that  ln Y   tends to
           a  normal  distribution  as n !1.  The  probability  distribution  of  Y   is  thus
           determined from

                                              X
                                         Y ˆ e ;                         …7:43†
           where X  is a normal random variable.
             Definition 7.1. Let X  be N(m X ,   2 X  ). The random variable Y  as determined





           from Equation (7.43) is said to have a lognormal distribution.
             The  pdf  of  Y   is  easy  to  determine.  Since  Equation  (7.43)  gives  Y   as  a
           monotonic function of X, Equation (5.12) immediately gives
                             1            1           2
                       8
                       >           exp      …ln y   m X † ;  for y   0;
                       <        1=2        2
                f …y†ˆ   y  X …2 †       2  X                            …7:44†
                 Y
                       >
                       :
                         0;  elsewhere:
           Equation (7.44) shows that Y  has a one-sided distribution (i.e. it takes values
           only in the positive range of y). This property makes it attractive for physical





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