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13         Use of Geothermal Resources:



                        Economic Considerations






            The economics of geothermal utilization depend on many factors, each of which is specific to the
            type of application. Ground source heat pump installations, for example, face many market chal-
            lenges that differ significantly from those that affect direct use applications or power generation.
            These differences reflect differences in the scale of the project, the customer base, the state of the
            technology, the competitive milieu, and the policy and regulatory environment. In the following
            discussion the focus will be on the large-scale considerations that affect the economic viability of
            geothermal power generation. Particular attention will be paid to metrics and criteria used to evalu-
            ate competitive position, and how those compare across conversion technologies. The purpose of
            this discussion is to provide perspective regarding geothermal power generations cost relative to
            other options. Although the economics of other types of geothermal applications will not be specifi-
            cally discussed since they have been treated directly in the chapters that detail their technological
            and scientific dimension, this chapter closes with a discussion of the necessary steps for completing
            an economically successful geothermal project of any type.

            economIcs oF GeoThermal power

            The economic viability of a specific geothermal power generating facility will depend on local
            market conditions, the engineering approach being used at the site and the resource it is utilizing.
            As a result, it is not possible to describe universally applicable economic constraints or attributes
            that would pertain to all geothermal power projects. However, there are sufficient data, derived over
            several decades of experience, to allow description of the general economic attributes of geothermal
            systems that make them suitable sources of energy. Recent economic analyses contribute to these
            results, allowing a broad comparison of power generating technologies.


            capaciTy facTors
            In general, a power generating facility converts some form of energy (kinetic, thermal, nuclear, etc.)
            into electricity. Each conversion technology has particular characteristics that determine efficien-
            cies, size of the power generating facility, and so on. One of these characteristics has come to be
            known as the capacity factor.
              The  capacity  factor  of  a  given  conversion  technology  is  the  ratio  between  the  amount  of
            power that technology produces over a given amount of time to the amount of power that would
            be produced if the technology was producing its maximum amount of power over that entire
            time period

                                             c  = p realized   ideal ,                 (13.1)
                                                      /p
                                              f
            where c  is the capacity factor that has a value between 0 and 1, p realized  is the power output that is
                  f
            realized over the given time period, and p ideal  is the power output that would be achieved if the power
            plant had operated at 100% of its rated capacity for 100% of the time. Multiplying c  by 100 converts
                                                                              f
            the capacity factor to a percentage. The capacity factor is based on historical experience, aggregated


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