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Closed-loop glycemic control results  315




                  correspond with the physical definitions. In addition, maximum rates of change
                  constraints are defined for the parameters estimated simultaneously to the states
                  to avoid sudden changes in the parameter values due to measurement noise or
                  unknown disturbances that may result in inappropriate corrections.


                  Modulating insulin infusion
                  Estimates of the PIC can be used to moderate the aggressiveness of the MPC algo-
                  rithm and dynamically constrain the insulin infusion. The MPC thus explicitly
                  considers the insulin concentration in the bloodstream within the control law compu-
                  tation. A plasma insulin risk index can manipulate the weighting matrix for penal-
                  izing the amount of input actuation (aggressiveness of insulin dosing) depending
                  on the estimated PIC, thus suppressing the infusion rate if sufficient insulin is present
                  in the bloodstream (Fig. 15.3). As the plasma insulin concentration increases, the
                  penalty weight on the input action is also simultaneously increased as
                  R k ¼ RðPIRI k Þ, with PIRI k as the risk index at sampling instance k derived from
                  the estimated PIC. Incorporating PIC constraints in the optimal control problems
                  can prevent insulin stacking that may lead to hypoglycemia, which can yield a
                  safe and reliable AP system even in the presence of significant uncertainty in the
                  system.



                  Closed-loop glycemic control results

                  In this section, we illustrate the efficacy of an MPC formulation that employs adap-
                  tive models recursively identified through subspace-based techniques. The adap-
                  tive MPC incorporates variable weights in the objective function through the
                  glycemic and plasma insulin risk indexes. The adaptive MPC is also dynamically

















                  FIGURE 15.3
                  The plasma insulin risk index for increasing the penalty weight on insulin infusion based
                  on plasma insulin concentration estimates.
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