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52     CHAPTER 4 Consequences of SMBG systems inaccuracy




                         This work focuses on understanding how the accuracy characteristics of these
                         technologies contribute to the quality of glycemic control.
                            This chapter surveys current efforts to characterize hypothesized relationships
                         (illustrated in Fig. 4.1) between accuracy and outcomes. As shown in the figure,
                         these range from the clinical to the financial, from the immediate to the long
                         term. The approaches discussed here cover vastly different methodologies from
                         direct clinical observations and surveys, to modeling and simulation-based studies,
                         to meta-analysis. In the end, and despite their methodological differences, these
                         studies deliver a clear and consistent message. Inaccurate BGM systems can nega-
                         tively affect the patient’s glycemic control, quality of life, and finances. Continued
                         use of inaccurate BGM systems may result in an increased prevalence of long-term
                         health complications affecting both the patient’s quality of life and the financial
                         health of families. When we switch our focus from an individual to the entire
                         population, these effects aggregate over time to affect worker productivity and
                         healthcare costs.
                            The chapter is organized as follows. In the first section, we set up the problem of
                         characterizing the effect of accuracy. This requires defining how we measure the
                         inputs (accuracy) and the outputs (clinical, quality of life, financial cost). We discuss
                         the nuances and complexities involved that make this an interesting problem. In Sec-
                         tion Quantifying the effect of inaccurate BGM systems, we introduce an approach to
                         the problem based on modeling and simulation, in which we decompose the overall
                         problem into more manageable steps. Finally, in Section Accuracy and its conse-
                         quences, we present an extended illustration of our approach. The example describes
                         how modeling and simulation can be used to estimate the effects of SMBG accuracy
                         on patients using multiple daily injections (MDI) both in terms of short-term clinical
                         and cost metrics and long-term clinical complications and their cost to the healthcare
                         system using the case of the United Kingdom.


                                                    SMBG Accuracy



                                                    Glycemic Control



                                 Short-Term Clinical Outcomes  Long-Term Clinical Outcomes





                                   Treatment Costs  Healthcare System Costs  Quality of Life
                         FIGURE 4.1
                         Short-term and long-term consequences of BGM system accuracy.
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