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Quantifying the effect of inaccurate BGM systems   55




                  into hyperglycemia, a patient may be aware of it (physiology), make a decision
                  about confirming or not hyperglycemia (psychology), and upon confirmation, the
                  patient may opt to ignore or treat that condition (behavior). The patient’s treatment
                  may include bolusing or exercising. The impact of these behaviors is very significant
                  and, in some cases, drowns the effect of BGM system noise. More interestingly, in
                  some forms of therapy like continuous subcutaneous insulin infusion (CSII) or
                  sensor-augmented pump, behavioral “noise” may amplify the effect of BGM system
                  noise. For example [42], shows that missing boluses may not only be more impactful
                  than BGM system error but also make accuracy more critical as patients that skip
                  boluses have less opportunities to correct.


                  Effects spread over time and space
                  Self-treatment decisions based on inaccurate estimates of a patient’s plasma glucose
                  level may result in poor glycemic control. A BGM system that incorrectly reports a
                  high blood glucose level may drive a patient to hypoglycemia by administering an
                  unnecessary or unnecessarily large bolus (over bolus) [18,48,49]. In the most
                  extreme cases, measurement errors may result in severe hypoglycemia events
                  (SHE) requiring hospitalization [50]. Similarly, underestimated glucose levels
                  may drive the patient to hyperglycemia (under bolus). Chronic hyperglycemia in
                  the long term will manifest itself in higher hemoglobin A1c (HbA1c), increased
                  risk of diabetic ketoacidosis (DKA), and long-term clinical complications, such as
                  retinopathy, cardiac disease (congestive heart failure), and renal disease [51].
                  Ultimately, chronic clinical conditions will result in reduced quality of life,
                  increased cost of living, and increased cost of healthcare at a population level
                  [52e54]. As illustrated in Fig. 4.1, the consequences of an inaccurate meter span
                  the patient’s life and may eventually involve the entire organism. A limited, by no
                  means complete, classification of the effects comprises:
                  Clinical outcomes
                  The quality of glycemic control. We separate this into short term and long term.


                  Short term
                  Time in range, time in hypoglycemia, time in hyperglycemia; glucose variability;
                  risk of severe SHE and severe hyperglycemia (DKA).

                  Long term
                  HbA1c, diabetes-related complications: for example, retinopathy (up to blindness),
                  nephropathy (up to kidney failure, requiring transplantation or dialysis), diabetic
                  foot ulcer, amputation and vascular complications (including stroke, angina, heart
                  failure, myocardial infarction).

                  Quality of life
                  The effect of the disease in perceived quality of life. Examples are stress, anxiety,
                  and depression related to the disease. Quality of life lost due to the disease.
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